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Nearly Two-thirds of High-end Smartphone Users in China are Open to Foldables: Survey

  • 64% of high-end smartphone users in China are willing to purchase a foldable smartphone for their next purchase.    
  • Trying new form factor (22%) and owning a bigger screen (21%) are key reasons driving preference for foldable design. 
  • 89% of potential foldable buyers prefer book-type foldable design for its wide and large display and multi-tasking feature.
  • Reputation and the latest technology are the key factors during brand selection. 
  • The durability of foldables is the top area of concern among people.

Beijing, New Delhi, London, Jakarta, Boston, Toronto, Taipei, Seoul – November 23, 2023

A recent consumer survey conducted by Counterpoint Research spotlights a strong interest in foldable smartphones among Chinese consumers. As many as 64% of smartphone users in the $400 and above price bracket in China are considering foldables for their next purchase, with 20% already committed to the idea and an additional 44% weighing it as an option.

Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Consumer Lens Service

Android users’ interest in foldable smartphones is higher at 71%, while it is 58% for iOS users. This interest in foldables is particularly pronounced among current foldable phone users in the survey, who are eager to continue their experience with the emerging technology.

Though the big screen size of foldables attracts smartphone users, this enthusiasm is tempered by concerns over durability, prominence of the crease and the bulkiness of the device when the screen is folded, which are seen as the main barriers to widespread adoption.

Senior Analyst Arushi Chawla said, “With the smartphone market maturing and hence becoming tough to compete on the software side of things, people are looking forward to the foldable category as a stand-out factor. Multiple brands coming up with newer foldable generations are also building confidence among consumers. As a result, a significant proportion of the respondents aspire to purchase foldable smartphones in the near future. However, now consumers have also become better informed due to their rising dependence on smartphones and, therefore, hold certain concerns about the foldable technology.”

Durability of foldables is the top area (23%) the respondents want the products to improve. Comments on Chinese social media highlight complaints about the high cost of repairing foldables and disappointment over the robustness of product designs. Therefore, reputation in terms of quality and after-sales service becomes the top factor in brand selection.

Research Analyst Archie Zhang said, “Chinese OEMs are leading innovations in the foldable sector, striving to create devices that are both slimmer and lighter and appeal to consumers accustomed to the standard premium phones. This evolution is supported by significant investments in research and development, focusing on the mechanics of foldable hinges and the materials used, which are key to decreasing the body size and weight and increasing robustness.”

The survey also explores consumer expectations from book-type foldables. About 70% think foldables’ weight should be similar to or lighter than the smartphones they are using. Regarding thickness, most respondents think book-type foldables should not exceed 10 mm-12 mm when folded. Also, most users are willing to pay a price in the RMB 7,000-RMB 8,000(about $947-$1113) range for this foldable device type.

The Chinese foldable smartphone market has shown exponential growth this year, registering a 106% YoY increase in Q3. HONOR’s Magic V2 was the best-selling model in this quarter. From Q1 to Q3, the segment grew 90% with Huawei taking the biggest sales share.

Counterpoint Research

Counterpoint ResearchHONOR and other Chinese OEMs have stepped up foldable shipments while aiming for faster growth in the premium segment globally. This will make the global foldable market more competitive.

Senior Research Analyst Mengmeng Zhang said, “The Chinese foldable smartphone market is poised for double-digit growth in 2023, even against an anticipated overall market contraction of less than 5% YoY. With OEMs enhancing the durability, design and affordability of foldables, these devices are set to captivate a broader consumer base. Besides, unique software capabilities like advanced multi-tasking and seamless inner-outer screen integration are expected to further boost the appeal of foldable smartphones.”

(This Counterpoint Research survey was sponsored by HONOR to understand the preference towards foldable smartphones among users in the $400 and above price band in China. The survey, having a sample size of more than 1,000 respondents, was conducted online in both English and Mandarin languages. We expect the survey results to have a statistical precision of +/- 4%.)

 

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Early Look iPhone Numbers Show Waning China vs Vibrant US

  • iPhone 15 series first 17 days unit sales in China down 4.5% compared to iPhone 14
  • Excluding the Plus, which was released three weeks late last year, sales declines exceeded 10%
  • Early US numbers show opposite trend with robust demand across all models, especially Pro Max

Beijing, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Boston, Seoul – October 17, 2023

iPhone 15 series unit sales for the first 17 days of sales in China is underperforming last year’s iPhone 14, according to preliminary data from Counterpoint Research’s Smartphone 360 Weekly Smartphone Sales Tracker. The data is in contrast to early US numbers coming in which reflect robust demand across all models, especially the Pro Max.

“China’s headline numbers for the 15 series are in the red, and this is a reflection of the broader decline in consumer spending,” says Mengmeng Zhang. “But the shorter pre-holiday shopping period coupled with supply mismatches on the Pro Max (with consumers shying away from blue) could push some of the demand to calendar Q4.”

iPhone 14 vs 15 Series China Unit Sales YoY Growth, First 17 Days
Source:  Counterpoint Research Smartphone 360 Weekly Tracker, China.

Early US numbers are in stark contrast to China, with the first 9 days of iPhone 15 sales showing double-digit increases in overall unit sales and healthy demand across Base, Pro and especially Pro Max models.

The US is hot right now with back-to-back stellar weekends for the new iPhone. Overall reception of the 15 series has been very positive and we’re expecting a major upgrade cycle from iPhone 11 and 12 users,” says Jeff Fieldhack, Research Director for North America. “Of course, we’re talking about the first couple weeks of sales, but it’s a positive sign and takes a lot of sting off the China numbers.”

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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press(at)counterpointresearch.com

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India Premium Smartphone Segment Grows 112% YoY in Q2 2023; India Now Among Apple’s Top 5 Markets

  • India’s premium smartphone segment now contributes a record 17% to its overall shipments.
  • With an 18% share, Samsung led India’s smartphone market for the third consecutive quarter.
  • Samsung also surpassed Apple to become the top premium segment (>INR 30,000 or ~ $366) brand.
  • Apple continued to lead the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45,000 or ~$549) with a 59% share.
  • vivo maintained its second position. It was the only brand among the top five to experience YoY growth.
  • OnePlus was the fastest-growing brand in India’s smartphone market in Q2 with 68% YoY growth.

New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires – July 28, 2023

India’s smartphone shipments declined 3% YoY in Q2 2023 (April-June), according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Monthly India Smartphone Tracker. Though this decline was the fourth consecutive quarterly decline, its magnitude reduced significantly, from 19% in Q1 to 3% in Q2. Base effect, pent-up demand and improving macroeconomic conditions helped the market close at less than the expected decline. However, the premium smartphone segment presented a different picture, growing 112% YoY in Q2 to contribute a record 17% to the overall shipments.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Shilpi Jain said, “In Q2 2023, OEMs saw improvement in the inventory and demand situation ahead of the coming festive season. Aggressive measures were implemented by OEMs as well as channels during the quarter to clear existing inventory through multiple sales and promotions. At the consumers’ end, falling inflation and better growth prospects facilitated demand recovery. 5G upgrades also played a major role as OEMs kept launching 5G devices in the INR 10,000-INR 15,000 (~$122-$244) segment for a wider reach. We believe brands will be coming up with interesting launches and offers to lure consumers during the festive season and 5G will be a big growth driver here.”

India smartphone market share, Q2 2023

Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor

Notes: Xiaomi includes POCO; OPPO excludes OnePlus; vivo includes iQOO; Figures not exact due to rounding

Commenting on the competitive landscape and brand-level analysis, Research Analyst Shubham Singh said, “Samsung remained at the top position for the third consecutive quarter with an 18% market share. The brand also surpassed Apple to regain its top position in the premium smartphone segment (>INR 30,000, ~$366) after one year with a 34% share. Aggressive offers on the Z Flip3 and S21 FE, Samsung Finance+ and high demand for the latest premium A-series and F-series devices drove this growth. However, Apple continued to lead the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45,000 or ~$549) with a 59% share. India is now among Apple’s top-five markets.”

“vivo maintained its second spot in the overall market and was the only brand among the top five to experience YoY growth. Strong offline presence, growth of sub-brand iQOO in online, and multiple launches across price tiers facilitated this growth. OPPO has been consistently expanding its shipments in the higher-tier segments, with a particular focus on the upper mid-tier range (INR 20,000-INR 30,000 or ~$244-$366), showcasing its strategy to cater to diverse consumer needs. OPPO emerged as the top brand in this segment with a 21% market share. OnePlus was the fastest growing brand in India’s smartphone market in Q2 with 68% YoY growth.”

Other key insights

  • 5G smartphone growth: In Q2 2023, 5G smartphone shipments in India crossed the 100-million cumulative mark as 5G upgrades picked up pace driven by the expansion of 5G networks and availability of affordable devices. 5G smartphone shipments grew 59% YoY during the quarter.
  • Premiumization trend: The premiumization trend gained momentum as the segment grew at a faster rate of 112% YoY. Rise of a value-based incentive system for retailers, aggressive promotions, availability of credit through various financing schemes, and OEMs’ focussed approach are driving premiumization in India.
  • Channel dynamics: Offline channel share has been growing and is expected to rise to 54% in 2023. Online-heavy brands like Xiaomi, realme and OnePlus are now emphasizing offline expansion to enhance customer engagement and ecosystem development. Samsung and Apple are also increasing their offline presence to cater to diverse consumer preferences. This shift reflects a more comprehensive approach, leveraging both online and offline channels to create a seamless and personalized customer experience.
  • 4G feature phone growth: 4G feature phone share in the overall feature phone shipments increased to 10% in Q2 2023 driven by the JioBharat and itel Guru series’ launch. We believe this share will increase to 18% by the end of 2023. Growing demand for UPI, multiple launches from OEMs and Reliance push will help the segment grow further.
  • Inventory levels: The market was able to exit Q2 2023 with eight weeks of inventory as Xiaomi and realme managed to clear most of their inventory through multiple sales and promotions.
  • Other notable brands which grew during Q2 2023 were Apple (56% YoY), Transsion (34%), Lava (53% YoY) and Nokia (6% YoY).

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Q2 2023 Market Monitor’ is available for subscribing clients. 

Feel free to contact us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

The Market Monitor research relies on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendors’ IR results and vendor polling, triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market shares for World, USChina and India.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Shilpi Jain

Shubham Nimkar

Tarun Pathak

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US Smartphone Shipments Fall 24% YoY in Q2 2023 on Lower Upgrade Rates

  • Shipments declined YoY for the third consecutive quarter amid weak consumer demand.
  • Android smartphone shipments declined 38% while Apple shipments fell 6% YoY.
  • Consumers hesitated to purchase smartphones amid economic uncertainty.
  • Google and Motorola launched new foldable models during the quarter.
  • Low smartphone upgrade rates are likely to persist in Q3 2023.

Denver, Boston, Toronto, London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Beijing, Taipei, Seoul – July 28, 2023

US smartphone shipments declined 24% YoY in Q2 2023, according to Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor data. This was the third consecutive quarter of YoY declines. Android brands like Samsung, Motorola and TCL-Alcatel saw the steepest declines in shipments, while Apple’s shipments were more resilient. As a result, Apple’s share of shipments increased YoY.

US Smartphone Shipment Share by OEM

US smartphone shipments share by OEM

Commenting on the decline in smartphone shipments, Research Analyst Matthew Orf said, “Consumer demand for smartphones was tepid in Q2 2023, with the summer slump in sales coming early. Despite inflation numbers falling through the quarter and ongoing strength in the job market, consumers hesitated to upgrade their devices amid market uncertainty. We expect this trend to continue through Q3 2023, but the expectations from the upcoming iPhone 15 remain bullish.”

Despite the overall drop in shipments, certain segments of the US smartphone market saw important signs of life in the quarter. Senior Research Analyst Maurice Klaehne said, “In spite of declining smartphone shipments, the foldable market reached important milestones in the quarter. Motorola launched the Razr+, its first foldable device in the US since 2021, and Google launched its first-ever foldable, the Pixel Fold, providing alternatives to the Samsung Galaxy foldables. With new Galaxy Z Flip and Z Fold devices coming from Samsung in Q3 2023, foldable shipments could reach their highest level ever in the US in Q3 2023.

Associate Research Director Hanish Bhatia noted, “Despite fewer shipments from Apple compared to the same quarter last year, the brand’s share of shipments was still up 10% YoY. Apple’s resilience was driven by strong promotions across postpaid and prepaid. Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile continued to offer $800+ promo credits for the iPhone 14 while old-generation iPhones were also steeply discounted across prepaid. We are seeing no weakness in the overall promotional activity. In fact, we observed new highs for trade-in credit with Verizon offering up to $1,100 for the Pixel Fold. Google’s Pixel also grew from a small base and launched its old-generation Pixel 6a in the prepaid channel for the first time to compete with the iPhone 11. Both devices were heavily subsidized in prepaid channels.”

Director of North America Research Jeff Fieldhack said, “AT&T and T-Mobile reported positive net adds, but Verizon reported negative net adds within its consumer segment for the second consecutive quarter. The net-add activity remains comparable to last year, but the upgrade rates have been lower, causing overall weakness in demand. Near-record low churn has also had a dampening effect on new device sales. Weakness is likely to continue through the start of Q3 2023, but stronger iPhone 15 demand could offset weakness across Android.”

Background 

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts 

Matthew Orf

Maurice Klaehne

Hanish Bhatia

Jeff Fieldhack

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China Sees Lowest Q2 Smartphone Sales Since 2014; vivo, OPPO, Apple Lead

  • Smartphone sales in China fell 4% YoY in Q2 2023. The sales continued to decline in April and May, while the 618 e-commerce festival provided a boost in June.
  • Among OEMs, vivo reclaimed its leadership position with a 17.7% market share. OPPO (including OnePlus) and Apple were in a tie in Q2, each capturing 17.2%.
  • Apple, Huawei and realme managed to achieve positive YoY growth. Huawei’s smartphone sales grew 58% YoY driven by a bigger product portfolio.
  • Apple’s sales increased 7% YoY as its position in the premium segment remained unchallenged.

Beijing, New Delhi, Hong Kong, London, San Diego, Buenos Aires, Seoul – July 28, 2023

China’s smartphone sales fell 4% YoY in Q2 2023, reaching the lowest Q2 sales figure since 2014, according to Counterpoint’s Market Pulse Service. The macro headwinds, both internal and external, took a toll on Chinese consumer sentiment.

In April and May, smartphone sales remained weak, while the 618 e-commerce festival provided a boost in June, resulting in a 25% MoM growth. However, despite the sequential increase in June, the relatively weak performance observed during the 618 sales period (June 1 to June 18), with an 8% YoY decline according to Counterpoint’s 618 Sales Period Thematic Report, ultimately led to a 6% YoY decline for the full month of June.

China Smartphone Market Q2 2023
Source: Counterpoint Market Pulse Service Notes: OPPO includes OnePlus; Xiaomi includes Redmi; vivo includes iQOO; Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding

Among OEMs, Apple, Huawei and realme managed to achieve positive YoY growth. Apple maintained excellent sales performance with 7% YoY growth as its position in the premium segment remained unchallenged. The premium segment has proven to be more resilient during economic headwinds. Even within Apple, the sales share of the more premium Pro models grew from around one-third in Q2 2022 to around half in Q2 2023.

Sales of OEMs excluding Apple dropped 5.5% YoY, with all major Android OEMs except Huawei and realme seeing YoY declines. In terms of market share, vivo reclaimed its leadership position with a 17.7% share driven by a strong performance of the Y35 series, Y8 series and the newly launched S17 series. OPPO (including OnePlus) and Apple were in a tie in Q2, each capturing a 17.2% share.

Notably, OnePlus managed to maintain its strong growth momentum from Q1 2023 and achieved YoY growth of 254% in Q2 on the back of channel support from OPPO. On the other hand, OnePlus played an important role in compensating for OPPO’s limited online presence by using its online-centric business model to effectively tap into the segment.

Huawei’s smartphone sales grew 58% YoY in Q2 2023 as the brand managed to resume normal product launches this year. Leveraging its well-established brand image and strong offline footprint, especially in top-tier cities, Huawei witnessed a surge in sales after resolving its product shortages.

HONOR and Xiaomi saw their market shares drop in Q2 2023 on escalating competition. But HONOR has been catching up in offline presence in China.

With a disappointing performance in H1 2023, we have revised downwards our 2023 forecast for China’s smartphone market – from flat growth to a low single-digit YoY decrease. While we anticipate an improvement in smartphone sales during H2 when compared to H1, a strong rebound does not seem to be on the horizon as challenges that affected the performance in H1 are likely to persist.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Analyst Contacts

Shenghao Bai

Alicia Gong

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Global Foldable Smartphone Shipments to Cross 100 Million by 2027

  • Global foldable smartphone shipments are projected to reach 101.5 million in 2027 from 78.6 million in 2026.
  • Samsung and Apple are expected to dominate the market.
  • Regional drivers, especially in China, combined with growing consumer willingness to buy foldables will help keep shipment growth buoyant.

Seoul, Boston, Beijing, Hong Kong, New Delhi, London – July 26, 2023

Global foldable smartphone shipments are expected to pass the 100-million mark by 2027, according to Counterpoint Research’s latest Global Foldable Smartphone Tracker and Forecast, with Samsung and Apple accounting for the biggest market share.

Global Foldable Smartphone Shipment Forecast by Brand & Foldable Share In Premium Segment, 2021-2027(E)*

Foldable Smartphone Market Forecast
*Premium segment considered to be above $600 average wholesale price

Commenting on growth expectations, Research Director Tom Kang said, “At the moment, foldables remain niche. But it is an important segment for brands looking to maintain leadership in innovation and a premium market presence.”

Kang added, “Samsung and the Chinese OEMs have been very active, especially in their home markets, with China emerging as the biggest market globally last year. If you want to make it in foldables, you have to make it there.”

Senior Analyst Jene Park said, “In the long term, we are waiting to see what Apple does. We are looking at 2025 as the possible year of iPhone’s foldable debut, which could provide another growth spurt for the segment.”

Park added, “When we look at the current consumer response, our latest Global Foldable Smartphone Preference Survey shows a willingness to purchase for the majority of respondents, most notably among current users. This is a good sign and tells us the hype around foldables is legitimate.”

Global Foldable Smartphone Survey, 2023

Question: Are you willing to purchase a foldable phone as your next device?

Source: Counterpoint Research Global Foldable Smartphone Preference Survey, 2023
Notes: N=1,000 per country across US, China, South Korea; Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press@counterpointresearch.com

 

 

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2022 Global Smartphone Shipments Lowest Since 2013; Apple Regained No. 1 Rank with Highest-Ever Operating Profit Share of 85%

  • The global smartphone market declined by 18% YoY to reach 304 million units in Q4 2022.
  • Apple replaced Samsung as the top smartphone player in Q4 2022, driven by the recent launch of the iPhone 14 series.
  • The 2022 global shipments declined by 12% to 1.2 billion units, the lowest since 2013.
  • Global smartphone revenue declined by 9% to $409 billion, the lowest since 2017.
  • Apple achieved its highest-ever global smartphone shipment, revenue and operating profit share in 2022.

London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, Beijing, Denver, Buenos Aires – February 3, 2023

The global smartphone market remained under pressure in Q4 2022 with shipments declining by 18% YoY to the lowest level for a holiday quarter since 2013, even as they grew by 1% QoQ to 303.9 million units, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. Shipments for the full year 2022 also declined to 1.2 billion units, the lowest since 2013.

Commenting on overall market dynamics, Senior Analyst Harmeet Singh Walia said, “The war in Ukraine, inflationary pressures, economic uncertainty and macroeconomic headwinds kept the consumer sentiment weak in 2022 while smartphone users reduced the frequency of their purchases. The smartphone market remained under pressure in the fourth quarter of 2022 as the cost-of-living crisis, shortage in the labor market and a decline in consumers’ purchasing power resulted in double-digit declines in the shipments of each of the top five smartphone players.”

Consequently, global smartphone revenue and operating profit also saw a decline, although to a lesser degree than in shipments. An increased mix of premium phone offerings by major OEMs drove up the overall average selling price (ASP) by 5% YoY in 2022. The 9% decline in revenue, while lower than in shipments, resulted in annual smartphone revenues amounting to $409 billion, the lowest since 2017. A larger decline was prevented by a 1% growth in Apple, the only top five smartphone OEM to do so.

Commenting on Apple’s performance, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “having proficiently managed its production problems, Apple was able to weather a year already marred by economic and geopolitical turmoil better than other major smartphone players. Its iPhone Pro series continued performing well and its share of iPhone shipments could have been even higher if not for the production issues caused by the COVID-19 breakout at the Zhengzhou factory, which produces the vast majority of Pro series volumes. As a result, some Pro series volumes got pushed to January.”

Consequently, its shipment, revenue and operating profit declined YoY in Q4 2022. However, it outperformed a struggling smartphone market in terms of shipment, revenue and operating profit growth, in turn achieving its highest-ever shares of 18%, 48% and 85% in these metrics respectively, in 2022.

Apple also benefited from the premium segment, its primary constituency, being less severely affected by the economic and geopolitical uncertainties that marred the year. Moreover, mature smartphone users are now choosing premium devices that last longer.

Elaborating on the ‘premiumization’ trend, Research Director Tarun Pathak said, “premiumization can also be seen within the Android ecosystem and is being led by Samsung with its foldable smartphones. As a result, Samsung was the only top five OEM besides Apple to see a 1% growth in revenue, even though its shipments declined by 5% in 2022 and operating profit declined by 1%. The performance of its flagship smartphones was stronger than market projections. Nevertheless, with a smaller profit decline than the overall smartphone market, its operating profit share increased slightly to 12% in 2022.”

Chinese smartphone players suffered from domestic lockdowns for much of the year in addition to facing global economic and geopolitical difficulties. As a result, the shipments of Xiaomi, OPPO* and vivo fell by more than 20% each. Despite offering premium phones at aggressive margins, Chinese brands are yet to make headway in the premium market and have not been able to capitalize completely on Huawei’s decline. Unsurprisingly, then, their revenue as well as operating profit saw double-digit declines.

We expect the market to remain under pressure until the end of the first half of 2023 and to start recovering thereafter.

 

*OPPO includes OnePlus from Q3 2021

 

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market share for WorldUSChina and India.

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Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

 

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

 

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India Smartphone Shipments Decline 9% YoY in 2022, Premium Segment Share Hits Double Digits for First Time

  • Premium segment (>INR 30,000 or ~$365) contributed 11% to India’s smartphone shipments and 35% to market revenue in 2022, the highest ever.
  • Samsung led the market in 2022 in terms of shipment value share with a 22% share, followed by Apple.
  • However, in terms of shipment volume, Xiaomi led the market in 2022 with a 20% share, closely followed by Samsung. But Xiaomi slipped to third position in Q4 2022 with Samsung and vivo capturing first and second spots respectively.
  • 5G smartphones captured a 32% share in 2022. Samsung became the top-selling 5G brand in 2022 with a 21% share.
  • Apple continued to lead the premium smartphone segment, with the iPhone 13 emerging as the top-selling model. Apple also led the market in Q4 2022 in terms of shipment value.

New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, London, Beijing, San Diego, Buenos Aires – January 27, 2023

India’s smartphone shipments declined 9% YoY to reach over 152 million units in 2022, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. The YoY decline, which is the second ever in India’s smartphone market, can be attributed to the decline in entry-level and budget segments which faced supply constraints at the beginning of the year and then witnessed lower demand throughout the year. However, the premium segment continued to rise and captured a double-digit share for the first time, leading to growth in retail ASP.

Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Prachir Singh said, “Consumer demand started declining from the second quarter when the global economy was crippled by multiple macroeconomic issues like all-time high inflation, rising unemployment and geopolitical conflicts, affecting India’s economy as well. Inventory build-up across channels after the second quarter led to lower-than-expected shipments throughout the second half of the year. We believe that the inventory and demand situation will continue to affect the market in the first half of 2023 before improving in the latter half driven by the festive season and upgrades to 5G devices.”

Commenting on the competitive landscape and price band analysis, Research Analyst Shilpi Jain said, “Despite declining shipments, the premium smartphone market’s share kept rising in 2022 and reached 11%, the highest ever. This paradoxical trend implies that India’s smartphone market is moving from being volume-driven to value-driven. While entry-tier and budget segments were most affected, the premium segment remained immune and showed double-digit growth. OEMs’ increased focus, consumers upgrading for premium features and, most importantly, availability of various financing schemes like ‘No-cost EMI’, ‘Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL)’ and ‘Samsung finance+’ boosted this premiumization trend. We believe the momentum for the premium segment will continue in 2023 as well owing to OEMs’ focus and faster consumer upgrades.”

India Smartphone Market Share, 2022 _Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2022
Notes: Xiaomi includes POCO; OPPO excludes OnePlus; vivo includes IQOO; Figures not exact due to rounding

 

India Smartphone Market Share, Q4 2022_Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2022
Notes: Xiaomi includes POCO; OPPO excludes OnePlus; vivo includes IQOO; Figures not exact due to rounding

Overall, India smartphone market revenue remained flat despite 9% YoY decline in shipments. Samsung led the India smartphone market revenue with 20% share driven by its premium smartphone models, especially the Galaxy S22 series. Samsung increased its share in the premium segment and re-captured second position. Apple rose from the fourth position in 2021 in revenue share and captured the second position in 2022. iPhone 13 captured the top smartphone model spot in 2022. China brands saw a decline in value share cumulatively, capturing 60% revenue share in 2022 as compared to 65% in 2021.

India Smartphone Market Value Share, 2022_Counterpoint Research
Source: Counterpoint Research Market Monitor, Q4 2022
Notes: Xiaomi includes POCO; OPPO excludes OnePlus; vivo includes IQOO; Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding

Market Summary

  • Xiaomi slipped to third place in Q4 2022 but held the top spot in India’s smartphone market in 2022 with a 24% YoY decline. 2022 was a tough year for Xiaomi as it faced legal complications, component shortages and intense competition. Inventory build-up in online channels during the festive season further slowed its shipments in Q4 2022.
  • Though Samsung held the second spot in 2022, it emerged as the leading brand in Q4 2022. It was the only smartphone brand among the top five which did not decline and remained flat. Samsung also became the top 5G smartphone brand in 2022 with a 21% share. It also led the affordable premium segment (INR 30,000-INR 45,000 or ~$365-550) in 2022 driven by the revamping of the A series and attractive promotional offers during the festive season. It was also the fastest growing brand in the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45,000 or ~$550).
  • vivo secured second place in Q4 2022 and managed to take third place in 2022. It also captured the third spot in 2022 in terms of shipment value share. A strong focus on the offline market propelled its growth in Q4 2022. Affordable pricing strategies also helped vivo to expand its consumer base, while its subsidiary brand IQOO strengthened its hold in the online market. It also held the second spot in 5G smartphone shipments in 2022 with a 17% share, driven by the T series and V series.
  • realme slipped to fourth place in 2022, with a 14% YoY decline due to higher exposure to the sub-INR 10,000 segment, where demand was most affected. Many factors hampered realme’s growth in 2022, such as inventory build-up, unfavorable market conditions in the sub-INR 10,000 segment, and economic headwinds. However, the brand is now focusing on mid-tier and 5G as it launched its number series towards the end of the year with all 5G SKUs in the >INR 15,000 segment.
  • OPPO maintained its fifth position in India’s smartphone market in 2022 with a 7% YoY decline. It revamped its portfolio in the budget segment to drive volumes. However, the major focus remained on the upper mid-tier (INR 20,000-INR 30,000 or ~$240-$365) as it was the fastest growing brand, registering 80% growth within this segment driven by the F series.
  • Transsion Group brands itel, Infinix and TECNO accounted for 12% of India’s handset market and secured the third spot in 2022. In the sub-INR 6,000 (~$73) segment, itel was the best-selling brand driven by the A27 and A23 Pro sales. itel also led India’s feature phone market in 2022. TECNO took third place in the sub-INR 8,000 (~97) segment driven by the Spark Go 2022 and Pop 5 LTE sales. Infinix and TECNO are now focusing on higher price segments as they entered the premium segment towards the year-end.
  • Apple grew 16% YoY in 2022. It maintained its lead in the overall premium segment (>INR 30,000 or ~$365) as well as the ultra-premium segment (>INR 45,000 or ~$550). The iPhone 13 became the top-selling model in 2022 in the overall Indian smartphone market. Apple also led the India smartphone market in terms of shipment value in Q4 2022India has become a strategic market for Apple. Increasing ‘Make in India’ capabilities for both local consumption and exports, expanding offline share through LFRs and aggressive promotions during the festive season accelerated Apple’s growth in India.
  • OnePlus grew 50% YoY in 2022 driven by the OnePlus Nord CE 2 series. It captured the second spot in the affordable premium segment with a 22% share. The Nord CE 2 Lite was the top-selling 5G model in the sub-INR 20,000 (~$240) segment in 2022. OnePlus focused on diversifying and expanding its product portfolio across different price points and increasing its offline presence to drive sales.

The comprehensive and in-depth Q4 2022 Market Monitor is available for subscribing clients.

Feel free to contact us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

The Market Monitor research relies on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendors’ IR results and vendor polling, triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market shares for WorldUSChina and India.

 

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

 

Analyst Contacts

Shilpi Jain

Prachir Singh

Tarun Pathak

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Related Posts

China Smartphone Sales in 2022 Reach Lowest Level in a Decade; Apple Becomes #2 Brand for First Time

  • China’s smartphone sales declined 14% YoY in 2022 to record their fifth consecutive year of decline.
  • Apple’s sales outperformed the country’s market in 2022, falling by only 3% YoY.
  •  Major Android OEMs such as OPPO (-27% YoY), vivo (-23% YoY) and Xiaomi (-19% YoY) saw big YoY declines.
  • China’s Q4 2022 smartphone sales declined 15% YoY. All quarters in 2022 saw double-digit YoY sales declines.
  • Looking ahead, we expect a market turnaround once COVID-19 herd immunity is achieved, which we expect sometime in Q2 2023.

Boston, Denver, Seoul, Taipei, Beijing, London, Toronto, New Delhi, Hong Kong – January 27, 2023

China’s smartphone sales declined 14% YoY in 2022 to reach their lowest level in a decade, according to Counterpoint Research’s Market Pulse Service. 2022 was also the fifth consecutive year of YoY sales declines in China. Macroeconomic headwinds and the impact of COVID-19 led to the sales plunge.

In Q4 2022, China’s smartphone sales declined 15% YoY. Therefore, sales declined YoY in double digits in every quarter of 2022. The sudden relaxing of the COVID-19 policy in December resulted in a surge in cases and led the market to decline 5% QoQ to record its lowest quarterly sales in the year, instead of posting a typical seasonal increase.

Since the spring of 2022, many cities in China, both large and small, were being subjected to COVID-19 restrictions, which negatively impacted consumer sentiment and further delayed smartphone replacements.

Counterpoint Research

In 2022, vivo retained the first spot with a 19.2% market share, followed by Apple at 18.0% and OPPO at 17.5%.

Apple declined 3% YoY in 2022 but was able to outperform the market to become the #2 brand in China for the first time for a full year. It also reached its highest-ever quarterly share, capturing 23.7% of the sales in Q4 2022. This was despite the shortages faced by the iPhone 14 Pro versions as well as the comparatively lower popularity of the iPhone 14 series’ non-Pro versions due to limited upgrades compared to the iPhone 13.

HONOR was the only brand in 2022 to have positive YoY growth at 38% YoY. However, this growth was mainly due to a lower base in 2021, when the brand had started its resurgence in the Chinese market. HONOR made its comeback with the HONOR 50 in 2021. Now the brand has stabilized with more product lines covering all price segments.

vivo, OPPO and Xiaomi saw YoY declines of 23%, 27% and 19% respectively in 2022 as demand dropped amid economic uncertainty.

Chinese OEMs continue to believe that the premium segment is the key and launched premium smartphone models during the year. They also introduced more foldable devices. Competition in the foldable segment is likely to intensify in 2023 and Chinese OEMs will look to expand their foldable offerings in the overseas markets.

Counterpoint Research

In Q4 2022, Apple captured 23.7% of the market, maintaining its leading position. But it registered a double-digit YoY decline like major Android OEMs. Huawei recovered from its low base in 2021, increasing by 15% YoY in Q4. However, the brand is still unable to ship 5G-enabled devices, which is a major concern for its sales outlook.

All the major OEMs offered stronger promotions during the Singles’ Day online sales festival. They also used the sales promotion season to shed excess inventory. Smartphone sales surged MoM, but the rise didn’t sustain into December when COVID-19 started spreading fast.

The sudden change in China’s COVID-19 policy caught the market off guard, but the reopening process is also ahead of the expected schedule. Looking ahead, China’s smartphone sales may show a positive YoY growth in Q2 2023, when the country should have restored normal social activities.

However, consumer sentiment will take longer than the economy to recover, particularly when it comes to income prospects. Therefore, we do not expect any explosive growth in smartphone sales this year. But a marginal recovery can still be expected.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

 

Analyst Contacts

Archie Zhang

 

 

Mengmeng Zhang

 

 

Alicia Gong

 

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