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Global Power Shift in Auto: Volkswagen to Begin Exporting China-engineered EVs

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December 11, 2025
  • Volkswagen and other European automakers are increasingly relying on Chinese technology, manufacturing, and supply chains to accelerate EV development and reduce costs, marking a major shift in where global automotive innovation is centred.
  • Volkswagen’s growing reliance on China-based production for global supply could gradually erode its traditional manufacturing base in Europe, which could hamper Europe’s premium brand identity.
  • However, this move could offer European automakers access to China’s advanced EV capabilities and supply-chain advantages, which can enhance their global competitiveness.


Volkswagen’s latest electric SUV, the ID.UNYX 08, co-developed with XPeng, has received regulatory approval for mass production in China. This will be Volkswagen’s first model for which all R&D has been carried out entirely in China. The ID.UNYX 08 is scheduled for launch in H1 2026, with planned exports to Southeast Asia, the Middle East and Central Asia.

In 2023, Volkswagen invested $700 million in XPeng, securing a near 5% stake, as part of a strategic partnership where the two companies will jointly develop two mid-size EVs built on a new architecture that combines XPeng’s advanced EV platform and software capabilities with Volkswagen’s global brand and engineering expertise.

The ID.UNYX 08 represents the first tangible output of this new strategic partnership. It is built on XPeng’s 800V architecture, supports ultra-fast charging, offers a 700km CLTC range and features XPeng-powered Over-the-air (OTA)-ready ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems).

Alongside this partnership, Volkswagen is preparing to launch around 30 new EV models in China over the next five years, driven largely by expanded local R&D. The company claims that due to efficient supply chain system such as localized battery procurement, shorter development cycles and lower labour costs, it can build EVs in China at roughly half of the cost of Germany-based production. To support this strategy, Volkswagen has invested about $1.09 billion to establish new development, innovation, and procurement centers for smart and intelligent EVs in Hefei, China.

Like Volkswagen, other European legacy automakers such as Stellantis, Audi, JLR, BMW and Mercedes-Benz have also invested in or partnered with Chinese automotive companies to preserve their market share in China, optimise costs through local production, and gain access to advanced technology and software. As legacy automakers transition to electrification, many are finding it increasingly difficult to keep pace with Chinese OEMs, which benefit from highly efficient local supply chains and strong in-house R&D capabilities that enable them to develop and deliver best-in-class EVs at competitive costs.

To avoid falling further behind in the EV race, these global automakers are increasingly turning to strategic partnerships with Chinese OEMs. However, this growing dependency on Chinese technology signals a major shift in the global automotive landscape where European automotive innovation, once widely adopted worldwide, risks becoming a relic of the past as China emerges as the new centre of EV technology development.

Major Europe-China EV Partnerships and Investment Structures

Source: Industry Data and Counterpoint Research

Outlook:

  • European automakers are currently executing a swift, strategic pivot, embracing Chinese EV architecture and manufacturing speed to remain competitive. Although partnerships like Volkswagen-XPeng and Stellantis-Leapmotor offer a necessary shortcut to accelerate their software-defined vehicle (SDV) competencies, it introduces an acute strategic risk that threatens to permanently downgrade the perception of premium European brand equity in global markets.
  • Volkswagen’s growing reliance on China-based production for global supply could gradually erode its traditional manufacturing base in Europe. While the move may enhance cost efficiency and accelerate time to market for EVs, it raises concerns about potential job losses across European plants and suppliers. Over time, this shift could weaken Europe’s industrial ecosystem and reduce the region’s strategic influence in the global automotive value chain.
  • This move could damage the long-term image of European car brands and, at the same time, give Chinese automakers a major opportunity. If Chinese companies deliver standout products through these partnerships, they can finally prove to Western markets that Chinese EVs and technology are not just low-cost alternatives, but advanced, high-quality, and competitive. At the same time, deeper collaboration with Chinese partners can offer European OEMs access to China’s advanced EV capabilities and highly efficient supply-chain networks, which could ultimately strengthen their global competitiveness as the industry shifts toward software-defined and electrified vehicle architectures.

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Team Counterpoint

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Counterpoint Research is a global industry and market research firm providing market data, intelligence, thought leadership and consulting across the technology ecosystem. We advise a diverse range of global clients spanning the supply chain – from chipmakers, component suppliers, manufacturers and software and application developers to service providers, channel players and investors. Our veteran team of analysts serve these clients through our offices located across the key innovation hubs, manufacturing clusters and commercial centers globally. Our analysts consistently engage with C-suite through to strategy, market intelligence, supply chain, R&D, product management, marketing, sales and others across the organization. Counterpoint’s key coverage areas: AI, Automotive, Cloud, Connectivity, Consumer Electronics, Displays, eSIM, IoT, Location Platforms, Macroeconomics, Manufacturing, Networks & Infra, Semiconductors, Smartphones and Wearables.