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Turnaround for Smartphone AP-SoC Market in 2024; TSMC to be Key Beneficiary of Node Transition, Premium Segment Growth

  • Growth: AP-SoC shipments will rebound 9% YoY in 2024 after two years of declines.
  • Driver: Advanced nodes will be the key driver in this growth due to the migration of Apple- and Qualcomm-powered flagships from 5/4nm to 3nm. TSMC will be the key foundry beneficiary in the long term.
  • Driver: 5/4nm offers support as OEMs switch to entry-level 5G from older nodes.
  • Outlook: MediaTek and Qualcomm will reap benefits from the 6/7-to-5/4 transition; Qualcomm will dominate through 2025.
  • Outlook: SMIC will gain some share in 6/7nm but advanced node challenges will persist.
  • Outlook: Key 3nm flagship transition likely to push H2 up. 2nm will be likely delayed till late 2026.

Taipei, Seoul, Hong Kong, Boston, New Delhi, London, Hong Kong – April 4, 2024

After two years of significant declines, the smartphone semiconductor market is likely to turn the corner, with 2024 smartphone AP-SoC shipments rebounding 9% YoY, according to Counterpoint Research’s latest Smartphone AP-SoC Long-term Shipment Forecast by Node and Foundry. The key driver of this growth will be the transition from 5/4nm chips to 3nm chips across flagships, as well as expected growth in premium and ultra-premium smartphones. TSMC will be the key foundry beneficiary here in the long term.

AP-SoC Shipments 2024E

“With all the growth coming from the advanced nodes this is positive for TSMC through the long term” says Brady Wang, Associate Director for Counterpoint Research’s Foundry and Semiconductor 360 research services. “And with the surge in AI semiconductors the short term view looks even brighter.”

Supporting the growth of advanced nodes will be 5/4nm, which is set to become another long-term node as smartphone OEMs switch more of their portfolios to entry-level 5G, thanks to growth in emerging markets, growing consumer awareness, and rise in demand for 5G as a feature in line with expanding network coverage.

“For fabless, it is a given that both MediaTek and Qualcomm are going to be the big winners in the 4G-to-5G transition,” said Parv Sharma, Senior Analyst at Counterpoint’s Semiconductor 360 research service. “It is a good opportunity for MediaTek to capitalize on its leading-edge sweet spot, but we still see Qualcomm dominating through 2025 when it will have almost 50% share of the 5/4nm segment.”

SMIC will see increasing relevance in 7/6nm but will likely face challenges in any shift towards more advanced nodes as DUV equipment bans slow progress.

2nm continues to be elusive but will likely emerge in 2026 with the arrival of Apple’s iPhone 18 series.

*Note: We have updated the last sentence of this PR to reflect 2nm will likely emerge in 2026 with the arrival of Apple’s iPhone 18 series; it was originally stated as the ‘iPhone 19 series’.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Despite Legal and Regulatory Risks, Services to Likely Hit One-fourth of Apple Revenues in 2025

  • We expect Apple’s services revenue to cross the $100-billion mark to account for one-fourth of its revenue by 2025.
  • Antitrust lawsuits in the US and EU pressure are key risk factors, but they are likely to play out over a longer term.
  • While the services segment is growing, iPhones will continue to capture around half of Apple’s total revenue.
  • The growth in hardware and services will help Apple breach the $400-billion revenue mark for the first time in 2024.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi – April 2, 2024

Apple’s services segment is likely to capture one-fourth of the company’s total revenue in 2025, according to Counterpoint Research’s Apple 360 service. 2025 will also mark the year when services revenue crosses the $100-billion-per-year mark for the first time. Further, the company should breach the $400-billion revenue mark for the first time in 2024, supported by the growth of its hardware and services segments.

Apple Revenue Share by Category

Sources: Company, Counterpoint Research

Commenting on recent legal and regulatory issues faced by Apple in the US and EU, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “We know there is risk, but it is early stages right now. So, we are not expecting any impact to monetization of the iPhone installed base, at least not in the medium term.”

“As regards Apple’s relative silence around its AI strategy, well, that has now changed with the big hint dropped on Tuesday around the announcement for June 10 WWDC. Am I expecting to see something special?  I wouldn’t be surprised – that’s Apple’s M.O.”

Apple’s growing installed base, which is over 2 billion devices currently, has created a flywheel effect on the growth of the brand’s services business. Apple Store, followed by Apple Care+, Apple Music and a round-up Apple One subscription, has driven inflection points for Apple with a growing device base.

Launched in 2023, AppleOne could become the single largest contributor to Apple’s services revenue. The tight software-hardware integration providing a unified and homogenous software and services experience to consumers, and a large installed base of premium consumers create a competitive advantage for Apple.

iPhones will continue to capture half of Apple’s revenue and remain the centerpiece of Apple’s ecosystem. Premiumization trends and growth in emerging markets are benefiting Apple’s iPhone business, with the latter likely to offset some of the volume declines seen in China earlier this year.

iPhone growth in emerging markets should also help with future growth for other Apple products as many consumers will be new users entering the iOS ecosystem. As these consumers become more dependent on their iPhones, they are likely to spend more on other Apple products.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

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Global Foundry Industry’s Q4 2023 Revenue Rises QoQ Driven by Inventory Restocking, Strong AI Demand

  • The foundry industry is showing signs of stabilization, marked by a 10% QoQ growth, indicative of ongoing inventory normalization.
  • Demand for strong AI remained robust in Q4 2023, setting the stage for continued expansion into 2024.
  • The semiconductor inventory cycle is nearing its trough, with demand stabilizing across PC and smartphone applications.

Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Seoul – Apr 2, 2024

The global foundry industry’s revenue grew about 10% QoQ but fell 3.5% YoY in Q4 2023, according to Counterpoint Research’s Foundry Services. Despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainties, the industry started bottoming out in H2 2023, driven by supply chain inventory restocking demand in the smartphone and PC sectors. Rush orders were observed from both PC and smartphone applications, particularly in the Android smartphone supply chain.

Revenue share of Key players in Global semiconductor Foundry industry Q4 2023

TSMC remained the leader in the foundry industry in Q4 2023, commanding a 61% market share. It posted better-than-expected Q4 2023 revenue, a notable increase from the 59% growth in Q3 2023. TSMC’s 5nm capacity utilization rate reached full capacity, buoyed by robust demand for AI GPUs from NVIDIA. Meanwhile, Apple’s iPhone 15 continued to drive growth in the leading-edge 3nm node. These dual catalysts contributed to revenue from nodes below 7nm, which represented nearly 70% of TSMC’s total revenue for the quarter, underscoring the company’s technology competitiveness.

Counterpoint Analyst Adam Chang  commented, “AI demand is expected to remain strong in 2024, with increased capacity from TSMC CoWoS coming online. Simultaneously, the foundry market is very close to the bottom of the semiconductor inventory cycle. TSMC will be the major beneficiary of both the AI mega trend and the logic semiconductor demand recovery.”

Samsung Foundry maintained its second position with a 14% market share in Q4 2023 as smartphone restocking continued during the quarter. The surge in initial pre-orders for the Samsung S24 series bodes well for revenue contribution from Samsung’s 5/4nm.

Among mature node foundries, both GlobalFoundries and UMC delivered better-than-expected results, each holding a 6% market share in Q4 2023. However, both companies provided weak Q1 2024 guidance, largely reflecting poor demand and customer inventory adjustments, especially in automotive and industrial applications. SMIC had a 5% market share in Q4 2023, with 7/10/14nm capacity utilization rates running high to fulfill Huawei Kirin chips and China’s local CPU/GPU demand. SMIC anticipates an increase in rush orders for specific smartphone-related components, including TDDI and CIS, in the near term, but has adopted a cautious full-year outlook due to uncertainties in demand sustainability, echoing the conservative outlook of other mature node foundries.

Following a sharp downturn in 2023, the foundry industry is forecast to return to a growth trajectory in 2024 as inventory continues to normalize. Strong demand for AI and a mild recovery in end demand will serve as the main growth drivers for the industry in 2024.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Global Smartphone Shipments to See Modest Rebound in 2024 Driven by Premium, Budget-Economy Segments

  • Global smartphone shipments in 2024 are expected to increase by 3% to reach 1.2 billion units.
  • The budget-economy segment ($150-$249) is expected to rebound from a challenging 2023, driven by a recovery in the CALA, India and MEA markets.
  • The premium segment ($600-$799) is projected to grow 17% YoY thanks to Apple and Huawei.
  • The market seems to have bottomed out, and we expect low-single-digit YoY increases in the longer term.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi – March 28, 2024

Global smartphone shipments in 2024 are expected to record a modest rebound of 3% YoY to reach 1.2 billion units, according to Counterpoint Research’s Global Smartphone Shipment Forecast. The budget-economy segment ($150-$249), which shrank YoY in 2023 due to macroeconomic headwinds, especially in emerging markets, and the premium segment ($600-$799) are expected to drive this rebound.

Unlike 2023, emerging markets such as India and the Middle East and Africa (MEA) are expected to drive the global smartphone market’s growth in 2024, supported by the budget-economy segment. The robust inventory levels in Q4 2023 are also expected to help.Global Smartphone Market Shipments by Price Band, 2023 vs 2024(F)

The budget-economy segment ($150-$249), which experienced a noticeable decline in 2023, is expected to rebound 11% YoY in 2024, primarily driven by India, MEA and CALA (Caribbean And Latin American) markets. As inflationary pressures have eased considerably across Africa, and local currencies have stabilized in many countries, the consumer purchasing power has recovered, benefiting the $150-$249 segment.

Steady investments into the MEA and CALA markets by Chinese OEMs like OPPO, vivo, Xiaomi and Transsion Group have intensified the competition, stimulating the demand for budget-economy smartphones. Alongside the recovery of demand for IT devices in emerging markets, the intensified competition between Chinese OEMs will be the main growth driver in the segment.

The premium segment ($600-$799) is expected to maintain steady growth in 2024, rising 17% YoY driven primarily by older model flagships, with flip form factors also enjoying strong YoY growth.  We expect GenAI smartphones and the fold segments to help support demand in ultra-premium, especially towards the latter half of the year. From a brand perspective, Apple is likely to lead premium and ultra-premium segment growth, with emerging markets such as India and MEA driving iPhone growth, while Samsung will show slight growth in various regions. Huawei in China will continue to be a key factor of the growth in premium smartphone market.

For the longer term, we expect low-single-digit YoY increases for global smartphone shipments as the market seems to have bottomed out.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Global Cellular IoT Module Shipments Record First-ever Annual Decline

  • The global cellular IoT module market’s shipments declined 2% in 2023 as compared to 2022.
  • Despite a decline in shipments, Quectel continued to lead, followed by Fibocom and China Mobile.
  • NB-IoT and 4G Cat 1 shipments declined in its top market, China, where 4G Cat 1 bis gained at 4G Cat 1 and NB-IoT’s expense.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, San Diego – March 21, 2024

Global cellular IoT module shipments saw their first-ever annual decline in 2023, falling 2% YoY, according to Counterpoint’s latest Global Cellular IoT Module and Chipset Tracker by Application report. Inventory adjustments following supply chain disruption and reduced demand in some key market verticals like industrial and enterprise were some of the key factors driving this decline.

4G Cat 1 bis grew the fastest in 2023, capturing over 22% of the shipments. In China, 4G Cat 1 bis has now become the primary cellular standard for POS, smart meter, telematics and asset tracking markets, owing to its affordability and energy efficiency. The market is slowly transitioning from 4G Cat 1 and NB-IoT to more efficient 4G Cat 1 bis.

Commenting on market dynamics, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “India and China have shown positive growth due to increasing demand in the smart meter, POS and asset tracking markets. Conversely, the rest of the world witnessed a sharper decline, indicating a lack of expected market momentum.”

Agrawal added, “Around 12% of the modules shipped in 2023 were equipped with AI capabilities at the software or hardware level. These modules are gaining popularity in high-end markets such as automotive, router/CPE and PC, facilitating the management of the escalating data load in these sectors.”

Counterpoint Research IoT Module Shipments Share 2023

  • Quectel, the leading module vendor, experienced a decline in its market share primarily because of weakened demand in markets outside China. The company has partnered with Syrma SGS Technology to manufacture IoT modules in India.
  • China Mobile and Fibocom experienced double-digit YoY growth. China Mobile’s growth was driven by smart meters, asset trackers and POS applications, while Fibocom’s growth was driven by POS and telematics applications.
  • This year’s merger between Telit and Thales propelled Telit Cinterion into the top five vendors of IoT modules. To further solidify its presence in India, Telit partnered with VVDN for local production.
  • Several Chinese brands like Unionman, OpenLuat, Lierda and Neoway have shown significant growth within specialized markets like smart meter, asset tracking and POS.

Commenting on the market outlook, Research Analyst Anish Khajuria said, “In 2024, the IoT module market is expected to return to growth in the second half of the year with normalizing inventory levels and increasing demand in the smart meter, POS and automotive segments. Moreover, substantial growth is forecasted for 2025, coinciding with the widespread adoption of 5G and 5G RedCap technologies in smart meters, routers/CPE, POS systems, automotive solutions, and asset tracking applications.”

For detailed research, refer to the following reports available for subscribers:

Counterpoint tracks 1,500+ IoT module SKUs on a quarterly basis and provides forecasts on shipments, revenues and ASP performances for 80+ IoT module vendors, 12+ chipset players and 18+ IoT applications across 10 major geographies.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the technology, media and telecom (TMT) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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S24 vs S23 Series YoY Growth Positive On GenAI Support, Europe and US Demand

  • Samsung’s Galaxy S24 series vs S23 series global unit sales during the first three weeks of availability grew 8% YoY
  • Driver: S24 Plus sales grows most on strong price-to-specs balance to optimal GenAI experience
  • Driver: Developed markets across Western Europe, Korea and US key demand driver on high pre-orders
  • Outlook: Samsung’s first GenAI smartphone performance hints at longer-term potential for the segment

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi – March 13, 2024

According to Counterpoint Research’s latest Weekly Smartphone Model Sales Tracker, global unit sales of Samsung’s Galaxy S24 series devices grew 8% YoY compared to the Galaxy S23 series during its first three respective weeks of availability. S24 and S24 Ultra demand unit sales remained relatively flat compared to the S24 Plus, which grew by 52% YoY to account for over one-fifth of sales.

“The big driver this year for Samsung’s key flagship has been the S24 Plus model,” states Minsoo Kang, Senior Analyst. “It’s hitting the sweet spot on pricing, nudging upgraders as well as specs to support new users wanting optimized on-device AI.”

Strong performance of the Galaxy Plus series, which comes with a robust 12GB of DRAM – the minimum spec for a large language model to run well – highlights the increasing importance of higher specifications to provide optimized on-device experiences – a key selling point during Samsung’s S24 series launch.

Samsung Galaxy S24 vs S23 Global Unit Sales Comparison, First Three Weeks of Launch

From a regional perspective, the Galaxy S24 series has been especially popular across Western Europe on preorders, as well as Korea and the US, with respective volumes up 28%, 22% and 14%.

“Although overall growth of the Galaxy S24 series remains in single digits globally, it’s high single digits. And in Samsung’s biggest market – the US – we’re seeing YoY growth in the mid-teens – solid numbers especially considering the tough February.” says Jeff Fieldhack, Research Director for North America.  “And considering we’re still really at the beginning stages of the coming GenAI smartphone boom, there is plenty of runway for more growth.”

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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Top 5 Wafer Fab Equipment Makers’ Revenue Declined 1% YoY in 2023; ASML on Top

  • Top 5 wafer fab equipment manufacturers’ revenue declined to $93.5 billion in 2023.
  • Revenue from the foundry segment grew 16% YoY in 2023.
  • Shipments to China accounted for around one-third of total system sales in 2023.
  • Revenue from the memory segment fell 25% YoY in 2023 on a weak NAND end market. Technology upgrades in NAND and strong DRAM will help memory revenue growth in 2024.
  • Strong DUV and EUV sales drove ASML to the top position in 2023.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi – March 6, 2024

Top 5 wafer fab equipment (WFE) manufacturers’ revenue declined 1% YoY in 2023 to reach $93.5 billion due to weak memory spending, macroeconomic slowdown, inventory adjustments and low demand in the smartphone and PC end markets. Out of these five WFE vendors, ASML and Applied Materials managed to post YoY growth in 2023 while Lam Research, Tokyo Electron and KLA’s revenues declined 25%, 22% and 8% YoY respectively. Strong DUV and EUV sales drove ASML to the top position in 2023.

Inventory adjustments and memory downtrends had a significant impact on the overall revenue in H1 2023. However, inventory normalization and demand uptick in DRAM in H2 2023 helped restrict the overall full-year revenue decline.

Top 5 Wafer Fab Equipment Manufacturer’s Revenue, 2022 vs 2023

Revenue from the foundry segment grew 16% YoY in 2023 due to the ramping up of gate-all-around transistor architecture and strength in investments by customers for mature node devices across segments, including IoT, AI, cloud, automotive and 5G.

Revenue from the memory segment declined 25% YoY due to weak overall memory WFE spending, especially NAND. However, the decline was checked by the strength in DRAM in the latter half of 2023.

A big push for self-sufficiency in China, increased trailing-edge DRAM shipments, DRAM demand and mature-node growth investments drove a 31% YoY increase in shipments to China, which accounted for around one-third of total system sales in 2023.

Gate-all-around technology ramp-up; growth in AI, automotive and IoT spending; new fabs becoming operational; DRAM technology node transition to support HBM; and improved NAND spending will drive the WFE market’s growth in 2024.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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China Smartphone Sales Fall 7% YoY in First 6 Weeks of 2024; Double-digit Declines for Apple, OPPO, vivo

  • Growth: China’s smartphone unit sales declined by 7% YoY during the first six weeks of 2024.
  • Driver: Apple fell 24% over the period on stiff competition and an abnormally high January 2023.
  • Driver: Underperformance of key vendors OPPO and vivo also kept overall growth in the red.
  • Driver: Continued demand for Huawei’s Mate 60 series helped support a tough start to the year.
  • Outlook: Low consumer confidence and few new launches are likely to temper growth over the short term.

Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Seoul – March 5, 2024

China’s overall smartphone unit sales declined 7% YoY in the first six weeks of 2024, with key vendors like Apple, OPPO and vivo seeing double-digit declines, according to Counterpoint Research’s latest China Smartphone Weekly Sell-through Tracker.

Apple’s iPhone struggled during the first few weeks of the year for several reasons. “Primarily, it faced stiff competition at the high end from a resurgent Huawei while getting squeezed in the middle on aggressive pricing from the likes of OPPO, vivo and Xiaomi,” said Senior Analyst Mengmeng Zhang, adding, “Although the iPhone 15 is a great device, it has no significant upgrades from the previous version, so consumers feel fine holding on to the older-generation iPhones for now.”

At the same time, it may be noted that the first six weeks of 2023 saw abnormally high numbers with significant unit sales being deferred from December 2022 due to production issues, magnifying the negative YoY comparison.

China Weekly Smartphone Unit Sales Share & Growth in First 6 Weeks of Year, 2024 vs 2023
Source: Counterpoint Research China Smartphone Weekly Sell-through Tracker
*Notes: 2023 – Jan 2 to Feb 12; 2024 – Jan 1 to Feb 11; OEM shares may not add to 100% due to rounding; OPPO includes OnePlus.

Huawei continued to attract and satisfy strong demand for its Mate 60 series, one of the only bright spots to the start of the year.

“Consumer confidence will need to rise to stabilize the market, but it is a tough call right now with everything that is happening, especially in the real estate sector,” said Senior Analyst Ivan Lam, adding, “As far as Apple is concerned, there is more wriggle room in the short term. This weekend’s aggressive promotions are just one example.”

Overall growth is likely to remain in the red during Q1 2024 on muted spending and a few new product launches.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

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South Africa’s Smartphone Shipments Surge 29% YoY in 2023 as Market Recovery Gathers Pace

  • This was the country’s highest-ever annual smartphone shipment growth rate. 
  • 5G shipments during the quarter grew 31% YoY, driven by HONOR. 
  • Samsung took the top spot in 2023, followed by HONOR and Xiaomi. 
  • In H2 2023, HONOR saw its best period and became the leading player. 

London, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, New Delhi, Seoul – March 1, 2024 

South Africa’s smartphone shipments grew 29% YoY in 2023, according to Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. The growth was driven by the strong shipments in H2 2023 due to fierce competition among Chinese OEMs and multiple promotions by major OEMs. The availability of device financing schemes from operators and channel partners also enhanced smartphone accessibility and adoption. 

 Commenting on the market dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Yang Wang said, “Despite facing multiple macroeconomic challenges, South Africa’s smartphone market continues to grow, driven by popular demand, widening availability of digital services, and the increased presence of Chinese OEMs.” 

For Q4 2023, South Africa’s smartphone shipments soared 91% YoY with the major driver being HONOR. It was also the fastest-growing brand during the quarter and secured the leading position with a 24% share of the market. The HONOR Magic 4 Lite 5G and HONOR X6 models were its volume drivers. Other Chinese OEMs, including Xiaomi, TECNO and, also aggressively expanded in the market, with their shipments increasing by 86%, 80%, and 93% respectively. 

In line with global trends, consumer preference in the country is shifting towards premium (>$800) smartphones. The segment saw an increase of 57% YoY, driven mainly by Apple which grew 83% during the year. The $150-$249 price band grew 26% YoY, as lower-end consumers (sub-$100) are upgrading their devices due to the higher value proposition offered by mid-range smartphones.  

In terms of network technology, although LTE still dominates, 5G is fast catching up. 5G smartphone shipments grew 31% YoY, as 5G device prices continued to decline. The expected growth in 5G coverage in the next few years, particularly in city centers, will further boost 5G smartphone penetration in the country.  

Brand highlight for 2023 

Samsung dropped 6% but was the leading player in 2023. Samsung’s market share has declined steadily due to fierce competition from Chinese OEMs. With Samsung’s A series driving most of its volume during the year, the brand is experimenting with device financing and trade-in schemes to help customers acquire higher-value devices at lower cost.  

HONOR grew the most in South Africa in 2023, reaching the second position in the market from almost no share a year ago. The brand’s growth was mainly driven by its increased focus on the market in the second half of the year. The Magic4 series and X series were its best performers. Further, the brand’s reputation improved greatly due to the availability of higher-end models from its flagship and foldable ranges.  

Xiaomi grew 61% driven by the Redmi 10 series and Redmi Note 11 series, which were among its major volume drivers. Xiaomi is focusing on expanding its portfolio at the higher end ($250-$399) with the recently launched models from the Redmi Note 13 series. 

Transsion Group grew 48%, mainly due to TECNO’s 64% growth in the country. TECNO’s Pova 4 Pro and Spark 8C were its biggest volume drivers. For itel, A and S series was the volume drivers, continuing to gain popularity in the low-end market. Both TECNO and itel are actively pushing online and offline promotions.  

Background 

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry. 

 

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