Top

Global EV Sales Jump 18% in Q1 2024 on PHEV Momentum, China Leads With 28% YoY Growth

  • PHEV sales* saw a significant rise with a 46% YoY growth, while BEV sales increased by just 7% YoY as OEMs gradually pulled off their BEV supply targets.
  • China remained the global leader in EV* sales with a 28% YoY growth, while the US experienced a modest 2% YoY growth.
  • Despite a 9% YoY decline, Tesla regained the top position in BEV sales with a 19% market share, while BYD achieved a 13% YoY growth.
  • BYD exported almost 100,000 EVs, including PHEVs, with a substantial 152% YoY growth, primarily in the SEA region.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, Jakarta, London, New Delhi, San Diego, Tokyo – May 13, 2024

Global passenger EV (BEV+PHEV)* sales grew 18% YoY in Q1 2024, according to Counterpoint’s EV Market Tracker. While BEV sales increased by a modest 7% YoY during the quarter, PHEV sales grew 46% YoY.

China remained the global leader in Q1, followed by the US and Europe. China’s EV sales grew 28% YoY, while the US recorded a modest 2% YoY growth. Overall EV sales in the US grew, but BEV sales declined by 3% YoY.

Leading EV players like Tesla and BYD have managed to reduce their BEV manufacturing costs, allowing them to offer competitive prices. This has put pressure on other automakers like Ford and GM which are struggling to reduce their manufacturing costs. These companies have introduced BEVs at competitive prices but are facing significant losses.

To mitigate these losses, traditional automakers are adjusting their BEV targets and prioritizing PHEVs. The increased adoption of PHEVs is expected to continue until these automakers develop strategies to reduce BEV manufacturing costs and meet emission targets to avoid fines.

Global Passenger BEV Sales Share by Auto Group, Q1 2024

Research Analyst Abhik Mukherjee said, “The cheaper upfront cost of PHEVs when compared to BEVs and the availability of a fuel tank that eliminates range anxiety were among the main reasons for high PHEV demand.” PHEVs are available in different body types, like sedan, SUV and crossover. Buying mid-priced PHEVs is a more logical choice for consumers since their prices are comparable to or lower than most of BEVs. In this category, PHEVs with the SUV body type is more in demand.

Despite a 9% YoY decline, Tesla regained the top position in BEV sales in Q1 2024, commanding a 19% market share. Following closely behind were the BYD Group and Volkswagen Group. Notably, among the top three OEMs, only BYD achieved growth (13% YoY), while both Tesla and Volkswagen experienced declines of 9% and 4% YoY, respectively.

BYD also excelled in the PHEV segment, accounting for nearly one-third of global PHEV sales, followed by Geely Holdings and Li Auto. BYD exported almost 100,000 EVs, including PHEVs, with a substantial 152% YoY growth, primarily in the SEA region.

Global Passenger PHEV Sales Share by Auto Group, Q1 2024

Commenting on the market outlook, Associate Director Liz Lee said, “In 2024, the EV market is poised for significant growth, yet signs of a slowdown also loom and the annual growth may dip below 20%. The leveling off of early-adopter interest suggests a shift in consumer dynamics to the mass market in the long term and a new phase of evolution for the EV industry.

BYD’s remarkable export performance, especially in the SEA region, highlights the growing global demand for EVs, including PHEVs. However, Tesla, which has only BEV fleets, currently faces challenges such as production delays and weakened early-adopter demand, which initially boosted its sales in advanced markets.”

*Notes:

*EVs here include battery EVs (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs).

Sales here refer to wholesale figures, i.e. deliveries out of factories by respective brands.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

vivo Leads Indonesia Smartphone Shipments for First Time in 3 Years

  • Smartphone OEMs increased their shipments to Indonesia by 4% YoY in Q1 2024.
  • vivo led in smartphone shipments for the first time in three years with a 19.2% share.
  • Xiaomi’s shipments grew 55% YoY to take second place in the quarter.
  • The $200-$399 price band’s shipments increased by 37%, led by Samsung.
  • 5G smartphone shipments grew 77% YoY owing to the $200-$399 price band.

Jakarta, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, San Diego, Seoul, Tokyo – May 10, 2024

Indonesia’s smartphone shipments increased 4% YoY in Q1 2024, according to Counterpoint’s Monthly Indonesia Smartphone Tracker. Smartphone OEMs started this year by aggressively launching new models to meet the anticipated increase in demand during the Ramadan festivities in March. As a result, the shipments of newly launched models grew 183% YoY .

Various promotional activities were seen in retail channels such as Erafone, where discounts were not only for smartphones but also included discounts for accessories or IoT products, and free e-vouchers. Further, official online stores, e-commerce platforms and social media channels such as X, IG, TikTok and Facebook were used to market promotions. Offline stores have progressively increased over the years, with more competition coming from independent multi-brand stores and official smartphone stores, such as those from OPPO and realme, which continue to expand their coverage area.

Commenting on the shopping season during Ramadan festivities, Senior Analyst Febriman Abdillah said, “Indonesian consumers have become accustomed to increasing their spending during Ramadan and the following Eid al-Fitr festivities. This also includes upgrading their smartphones. Keeping in mind last year’s Ramadan shopping season, when demand was higher, OEMs were better planned this year in terms of product launches approaching Ramadan festivities. Consumers appreciated this as the newly launched smartphones also came with flash sale promotions.”

vivo took the top position after three years, with a 19.2% market share driven by improved distribution channels and aggressive marketing strategies. The Y series, including the new Y100 and Y03 models, drove vivo’s shipments. Promotions on online channels such as Eraspace, Tokopedia, Blibli, Shopee and Lazada, and partnering with fintech brands like Kredivo and Spectra for installment promos, also helped vivo increase consumer interest.

Xiaomi grew 55% YoY to move to second place. During the quarter, the brand expedited the replacement of older models with successors while offering price promotions. The Redmi Note 13 series, Redmi A3, Pocophone X6, X6 Pro and Xiaomi 14 were among the popular models introduced by Xiaomi during the quarter. Also, Xiaomi led the <$200 price band with a 21% share.

We witnessed a YoY decline in OPPO and Samsung due to reduced shipments in the entry-level segment (<$200). Meanwhile, realme saw lower shipments across all price bands. The new realme 12 series will take time to develop for the higher price bands. realme also missed its popular GT series from last year.

The mid-range segment ($200-$399) grew by 37% YoY in Q1 2024 to reach a 27% share. The growth was driven by Xiaomi, Samsung and vivo, particularly with the addition of new models such as the Samsung Galaxy A15, Galaxy A25, vivo Y100 and the Redmi Note 13 series.

5G smartphone shipments grew 77% YoY, reaching a 29% share of the overall smartphone shipments. The growth was led by vivo and OPPO with a combined share of 39%. The $200-$399 segment saw the largest growth, accounting for 57% of 5G shipments. OEMs still considered launching 4G smartphones in the Indonesian market due to slow 5G expansion.

Outlook 

Commenting on the market outlook, Abdillah said, “The demand for smartphones is expected to grow, especially for the mid-range ($200-$399) segment as we see this segment continuing to thrive, given the country’s improving macroeconomic conditions. Furthermore, OEMs may continue to launch new smartphones equipped with new technologies, including features such as AI and new camera systems.”

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

US Smartphone Shipments Decline YoY for Sixth Consecutive Quarter

  • US smartphone shipments declined 8% YoY in Q1 2024, the sixth consecutive quarter showing a YoY decline.
  • Samsung’s market share grew to 31%, its highest Q1 share since Q1 2020.
  • Apple’s market share remained flat at 52% in Q1 2024.
  • Low-end shipments declined as carriers pushed for deeper 5G smartphone penetration.

Boston, Fort Collins, San Diego, Beijing, Buenos Aires, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Seoul – May 9, 2024

US smartphone shipments declined 8% YoY in Q1 2024, according to Counterpoint Research’s Market Monitor data. This was primarily due to stronger Q1 2023 shipments following COVID-19-related factory closures that pushed Apple shipments from Q4 2022 into Q1 of last year. The sub-$300 segment saw continued declines due to weakness in the prepaid market, with carriers pushing for 5G smartphone SKUs, causing some OEMs to pull away from the market.

“Carriers saw declining upgrade rates and equipment revenues again in Q1 2024, showcasing the continued weak demand for smartphones in the market. Shipments were down YoY, with most of the decline being driven by an unfavorable YoY comparison due to iPhone 14 Pro and Pro Max launch quarter shipments being realized in Q1 2023,” said Jeff Fieldhack, Counterpoint’s Research Director for North America. “However, Apple maintained a healthy market share of 52% in the quarter as sub-$300 Android shipments saw declines.”

Note: Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding

On Android shipments, Senior Analyst Maurice Klaehne said, “Overall Android shipments decreased YoY, with the market’s low end continuing to see consolidation and decreasing new product launches due to LTE devices being phased out in favor of 5G models in carrier channels. The added costs of 5G connectivity make it challenging for OEMs to compete in the low-end space. A bright spot in the market was Samsung, which grew shipments YoY with the earlier launch of the S24 series. It was Samsung’s best Q1 in four years as the brand grew its market share to 31%, the highest since Q1 2020. There was strong demand from older Samsung users looking to upgrade to a new device.”

Commenting on the outlook for the remainder of 2024, Associate Director Hanish Bhatia said, “Q1 was the sixth consecutive quarter of YoY shipment declines and signs are that a recovery in the market has been postponed to at least Q3, when new device launches can stimulate demand. There will be seasonal growth drivers in Q3 and Q4 with the holidays and new product launches, especially if we see a strong push for GenAI features in new iPhones. Looking ahead, 2024 may remain a challenging year for OEMs given how upgrade rates have continued to remain low against the backdrop of macroeconomic headwinds triggered by high interest rates.”

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

India Smartphone Market Volume up 8% YoY, Value up 18% YoY in Q1 2024; vivo Leads in Volume, Samsung in Value

  • For the first time ever, vivo led the market by volume in a single quarter.
  • Samsung led the market by value after capturing over one-fourth of the total market value. Samsung’s average selling price (ASP) also reached its highest ever in India.
  • The premium segment (>INR 30,000) reached 20% volume share, its highest ever, and 51% value share of the overall Indian smartphone market.
  • 5G smartphone shipments captured their highest-ever share of 71% in volume terms.

New Delhi, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, San Diego, Seoul – May 9, 2024

India’s smartphone shipments in Q1 2024 (January-March) grew 8% YoY in terms of volume and 18% in terms of value, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Monthly India Smartphone Tracker. Volume growth was primarily driven by healthy inventory levels and the low base of Q1 2023. Value growth was driven by the ongoing premiumization trend and new launches during the quarter, such as the Samsung Galaxy S24 and OnePlus 12 series. The premium segment (>INR 30,000) reached 20% volume share, its highest ever, and 51% value share of the overall Indian smartphone market in Q1 2024.

Commenting on the market value dynamics, Senior Research Analyst Shilpi Jain said, “During the quarter, India’s smartphone market reached its highest ever Q1 value. The growth was driven by the strengthening trend of premiumization, with consumers upgrading to higher-value smartphones across price tiers. According to Counterpoint’s Consumer Lens survey, more than one-third of mid-tier consumers are willing to upgrade to the premium segment. Factors driving this trend include affordable financing schemes, better value for trade-ins, and bundled schemes, along with the demand for top-tier features such as AI, gaming, and imaging enhancements.

With a one-fourth share, Samsung led the market in terms of value. Also, at ~$425, Samsung’s ASP was its highest ever, driven by its leading position in the >INR 20,000 segment. This can be attributed to a stronger mix of its newly launched Galaxy S24 series due to its features such as GenAI, and the newly revamped A series, along with the increasing popularity of Samsung’s financing schemes. Apple also had a record quarter in India in terms of value, leading the premium segment both in value and volume terms, driven by the latest iPhone 15 series, especially in offline channels.”

India Smartphone Market Value Share, Q1 2024
Source: Counterpoint Research Monthly India Smartphone Tracker

Commenting on the market dynamics, Research Analyst Shubham Singh said, “The onset of 2024 brought a promising start for OEMs, with better inventory levels allowing them to fill channels with multiple new launches. However, sales were less than expected due to a drop in retail footfalls and a section of consumers cutting down on discretionary spending.

During the quarter, vivo captured the top spot by volume for the first time ever, with a 19% share driven by its 5G leadership and CMF (Color, Material, Finish) positioning, along with strong imaging capabilities. Key OEMs focused on diversifying their channel strategies during the quarter, which led to growth in shipments in offline channels, with inventory building up by the end of the quarter.”

India Smartphone Market Volume Share, Q1 2024
Source: Counterpoint Research Monthly India Smartphone Tracker

Nothing, Motorola, Xiaomi fastest-growing brands

  • Nothing grew the fastest at 144% YoY due to its new mid-segment model Nothing (2a), which gained significant mind share.
  • Motorola’s shipments grew 58% YoY in Q1 2024 driven by demand for better CMF in smartphones and its smoother stock Android experience.
  • Xiaomi’s shipments grew 28% YoY to secure the second spot driven by a leaner and streamlined portfolio and a proactive offline channel strategy.
  • Transsion brands grew 20% YoY after increasing offline focus and offering premium specs in the affordable segment.
  • realme witnessed an 18% YoY growth in Q1 2024 driven by its latest number series, which targets young age groups through its superior camera capabilities and premium-like design.

Other key trends

  • We expect India’s smartphone market to grow in single digits in 2024, driven by strong premiumization, 5G adoption and post-COVID upgrades.
  • In Q1 2024, India’s 5G smartphone shipments captured their highest ever share of 71%.
  • MediaTek led India’s smartphone chipset market with 53% share, Qualcomm leads the premium segment with 35% share.
  • During Q1 2024, the offline share reached 64%, marking the highest quarterly post-COVID figure.

Notes:

  • India smartphone OEM shipment revenue mentioned in this release do not reflect the realized revenue for some of the OEMs.
  • ASP has been calculated on the basis of retail market price.
  • Revenue (Value) is based on retail market price.

The comprehensive and in-depth ‘Q1 2024 India Smartphone Tracker’ is available for subscribing clients. 

Feel free to contact us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

The Market Monitor research relies on sell-in (shipments) estimates based on vendors’ IR results and vendor polling, triangulated with sell-through (sales), supply chain checks and secondary research.

You can also visit our Data Section (updated quarterly) to view the smartphone market shares for World, USChina and India.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

iPhone 15 Pro Max Best-selling Smartphone in Q1 2024

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi – May 6, 2024

Apple and Samsung dominated the top-10 best-selling smartphones list for Q1 2024, each capturing five positions and leaving no spot for other brands, according to Counterpoint Research’s Global Monthly Handset Model Sales Tracker. This was the first quarter in which the top 10 smartphones were all 5G capable. Besides, the trend towards premiumization was evident, with 7 of the top 10 smartphones being premium (wholesale price at $600 and above).

Apple’s iPhone 15 Pro Max was the best-selling smartphone of Q1 2024. Notably, the Pro Max variant achieved the top position for the first time in Apple’s non-seasonal quarter, reflecting an increasing trend of consumer preference for high-end smartphones. All four iPhone 15 variants and the iPhone 14 were among the top 10 bestsellers. Further, the iPhone 15 line-up secured the top three spots.

Share of Global top 10 best selling smartphones, Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023

The growing popularity of the Apple Pro line-up was evident, as it captured half of Apple’s total sales in Q1 2024, a significant increase from 24% in Q1 2020. The Pro iPhones have become the major revenue drivers for Apple, contributing over 60% of its sales value in Q1 2024. The Pro line-up offers substantial upgrades and significant enhancements over the base models. This strategic move has proven successful, as consumers are willing to pay for premium features. The Pro line-up’s features include an innovative dynamic island interface, more advanced chipsets, ultra-smooth displays, titanium chassis and a telephoto camera. The iPhone 15 Pro Max performed well despite its first price increase since the launch of the Pro series in 2019, indicating a strong consumer desire for the extra features the Pro line offers.

Samsung’s Galaxy S24 series secured two spots in the top 10 for Q1 2024, with its Ultra variant ranking fifth and the base variant coming in ninth. The strong performance of the S24 series can be attributed to Samsung’s early refresh of the series, and its efforts in generative AI (GenAI) technology. The S24 series was the first to reach the market with GenAI features and capabilities, allowing users to create unique content and experience a new level of interaction with their smartphones.

Consumers are holding onto their smartphones for longer periods because upgrades are offering limited differentiation in features. This leads consumers to opt for high-end smartphones to ensure their devices remain technologically relevant for a longer duration. Going forward, we expect the top 10 best-selling smartphones to capture a larger share of total smartphone sales as OEMs are focusing on leaner portfolios with premium features, including GenAI.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

Global Smartphone Market Grows 6% YoY in Q1 2024; Revenue Reaches Highest Level in a First Quarter

  • The global smartphone market grew 6% YoY to reach 296.9 million unit shipments in Q1 2024.
  • Samsung dethroned Apple to become the top smartphone player globally, accounting for 20% shipment share.
  • Apple’s shipments declined 13% YoY, however, the brand’s ASP grew to a record first quarter high driven by improved performance of the Pro models.
  • Among the top five OEMs, Xiaomi grew the fastest, registering 34% YoY shipment growth.
  • Global smartphone revenues also grew 7% YoY and reached highest-ever for a first quarter.

London, New Delhi, Hong Kong, Seoul, Beijing, Denver, Buenos Aires – May 3, 2024

Global smartphone shipments increased 6% YoY in the first quarter of 2024, according to the latest research from Counterpoint’s Market Monitor service. The growth is mostly attributed to the strong performance in key regions such as Europe, Middle East and Africa (MEA) and Caribbean and Latin America (CALA).

Commenting on overall market dynamics, Senior Analyst Prachir Singh said, “Smartphone shipments grew during the first quarter as emerging markets continued their strong momentum, while Europe, especially Central and Eastern Europe, grew the most compared to a difficult Q1 2023. Consumer demand in these markets has been growing gradually and the inventory levels have improved. MEA was the fastest growing region due to the strong shipments of TECNO, Xiaomi and HONOR. China also grew YoY owing to strong Lunar New Year sales and Huawei’s comeback. The India market also saw growth thanks to exiting 2023 with healthy inventory levels. The mature markets of North America and Japan declined relative to the same period in 2023.”

Global smartphone revenues grew by 7% YoY in Q1 2024 and reached the highest-ever in a first calendar quarter. The >$800 price segment was the fastest growing, registering double-digit growth and accounting for 18% of smartphone shipments in Q1 2024, up by 2pp compared to Q1 2023. Apple led the smartphone market revenues with a 43% share, although its revenues declined by 11% YoY. Samsung’s revenues grew 2% YoY, propelled by its increasing ASP while shipments remained flat. Among the top five OEMs, Xiaomi’s revenue growth was the fastest due to strong performance in its key markets. Revenues for the market beyond the top five OEMs also grew significantly, driven by increasing revenues from Huawei, HONOR and Transsion brands.

Commenting on Apple’s performance, Research Director Jeff Fieldhack said, “Tough competition in China, record low upgrades in the US and a difficult compare from last year due to iPhone 14 Pro’s supply shifting to Q1 2023 all weighed on iPhone performance. However, there were upsides as well. An improved product mix with 15 Pro’s performing better than its predecessors, and an increasing footprint in emerging markets, helped Apple in arresting some of the declines. Emerging markets especially provide long term growth opportunities. We also expect the inclusion of GenAI later this year to contribute to iPhone upgrades.”

Samsung re-captured the top spot and led global smartphone shipments during the quarter, driven by the early refresh of the Galaxy-A-series and strong performance of the Galaxy S24 series. Samsung reached its highest-ever ASP during the quarter as well. Among the biggest smartphone brands from China, Xiaomi and vivo registered growth. While Xiaomi registered growth in almost all its key markets, vivo posted strong performance in emerging markets of Asia Pacific including India. Huawei, HONOR and Transsion were the other key brands that gained during the quarter. Huawei made huge gains in China and won share from the leading brands. HONOR gained in CALA and MEA, in addition to having a strong share in China. The Transsion brands, TECNO, itel and Infinix, performed strongly in APAC, Eastern Europe, India and the MEA. OPPO* experienced a shipment decline due to stiff competition in key markets like China. The brand also prioritized value over shipments, with a shift to pushing higher ASP devices in emerging markets.

Commenting on the near-term outlook, Research Director Tarun Pathak said, “Growth is expected to be slow but steady in the near term. However, revenues are expected to grow faster as the ongoing premiumization trend is likely to persist, especially with the rise of newer form factors and capabilities such as foldables and GenAI. More than 10 OEMs have launched over 30 GenAI-capable smartphones so far. We estimate that GenAI’s share of overall smartphone shipments will reach 11% by 2024.”

*OPPO includes OnePlus since Q3 2021

Note: Pricing analysis is based on wholesale prices; numbers here are preliminary and subject to change.

Feel free to reach us at press@counterpointresearch.com for questions regarding our latest research and insights.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

3 Out of 4 Laptop PCs Sold in 2027 will be AI Laptop PCs With Advanced GenAI Capability

  • AI PCs will revive the global laptop PC market’s replacement demand in the coming years.
  • We estimate that AI laptop PCs with the ability to run advanced GenAI applications will account for every three out of four laptop PCs sold in 2027.
  • Microsoft will play a pivotal role in driving the AI laptop PC ecosystem, while Apple will be a dark horse.
  • Intel and AMD will look to take the GenAI-capable compute mainstream next year to compete with more efficient Arm-based Qualcomm and Apple solutions in this AI race.

Seoul, Beijing, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, San Diego, Taipei – April 30, 2024

Personal computers (PCs) have been used as the major productivity device for several decades. But now we are entering a new era of PCs based on artificial intelligence (AI), thanks to the boom witnessed in generative AI (GenAI). We believe the inventory correction and demand weakness in the global PC market have already normalized, with the impacts from COVID-19 largely being factored in. All this has created a comparatively healthy backdrop for reshaping the PC industry. Counterpoint estimates that almost half a billion AI laptop PCs will be sold during the 2023-2027 period, with AI PCs reviving the replacement demand.

Counterpoint separates GenAI laptop PCs into three categories – AI basic laptop, AI-advanced laptop and AI-capable laptop – based on different levels of computational performance, corresponding use cases and the efficiency of computational performance. We believe AI basic laptops, which are already in the market, can perform basic AI tasks but not completely GenAI tasks and, starting this year, will be supplanted by more AI-advanced and AI-capable models with enough TOPS (tera operations per second) powered by NPU (neural processing unit) or GPU (graphics processing unit) to perform the advanced GenAI tasks really well.

Commenting on the GenAI adoption in PCs, Senior Analyst William Li said, “Counterpoint forecasts that the penetration of AI-advanced laptops, which will form a majority of the AI laptop PC segment, will pick up in the next two years as chip vendors scale the GenAI capability to mainstream tiers. With the proliferation of GenAI use cases at the edge or in the cloud or in a hybrid way in the next few years, GenAI will become a de facto and must-have capability in the PC segment. Building the right kind of tools and ecosystem will be crucial for this adoption. Players such as Qualcomm have already accelerated with partners such as Microsoft, Hugging Face and a set of advanced AI Stack toolsets, developer evangelism.”

Source: Counterpoint Research – Generative AI Reshaping PC Market Navigating the Shift from Cloud to Localized Computing

Li added, “While the overall laptop PC market will register ~3% CAGR during 2023-2027, the AI laptop PC segment is bound to grow at 59% CAGR. The advanced semiconductor content from compute to memory will drive a positive ASP (average selling price) growth associated with newer GenAI capabilities, translating into more value for consumers than before. In addition, we estimate that AI laptop PCs with the ability to run advanced GenAI applications will account for every three out of four laptop PCs sold in 2027.”

The chip vendors are playing a major role in driving GenAI in PCs. Highlighting the trend, Associate Director Brady Wang said, “The first wave of AI PCs will gradually come up with three major CPU platforms – Intel Meteor Lake, AMD Hawk Point and Qualcomm Snapdragon X Elite series. These vendors are also preparing for next-generation solutions for AI laptop PCs rolling out later this year, which will accelerate the adoption of AI PCs at multiple price points. We believe Intel and AMD will also take GenAI-capable compute mainstream next year to compete with relatively efficient Arm-based Qualcomm and Apple solutions in this AI race.”

Wang added, “At the same time, we expect an upward trend in AI-capable laptops, which leverage high-level to premium-level GPUs to enable even higher-end GenAI applications. This will range from current large language models (LLMs) processed at the edge to advanced large models and even autonomous gaming graphics generating (AI Gfx) models. Players like NVIDIA will look to extend their capabilities and leadership in this segment.”

Generative AI supported by both Cloud and Edge

The adoption of GenAI in computing, which was initially solely dependent on the cloud, warrants higher computational capability and performance, from training the model to inferencing millions of potential requests per second. However, this is not feasible as well as viable from capacity, cost and energy perspectives. As a result, GenAI capability at the edge or in the PC becomes paramount.

Source: Counterpoint Research

Further, besides better work efficiency, data privacy and security are also important, which can be facilitated by GenAI applications at the edge. This also becomes pivotal to AI at the edge to preserve data sovereignty and environmental efficiency.

Commenting on GenAI use cases, Associate Director Mohit Agrawal said, “Initial GenAI adoption in the PC will be driven by Microsoft through its Copilot AI deeply integrated across Microsoft properties and further in upcoming Windows 12 along with app developers and partners such as OpenAI, Adobe and Hugging Face, which will catalyze the GenAI and overall AI experiences, initially around productivity and content creation in the PC. It remains to be seen how AI-powered Windows 12 charts upgrade path and AI capabilities for the existing installed base of devices which might not support necessary hardware capabilities to run GenAI applications natively.”

Agrawal added, “Apple could be the dark horse when it comes to adding GenAI capability in the Macs. The company can use its end-to-end vertical approach to leverage its self-designed Arm-based M series of advanced powerful processors, heavily optimized MacOS, newly designed LLM and powerful GenAI application ecosystem.”

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

Wear OS, HarmonyOS to Register Strong Growth in Global Smartwatch Market in 2024

  • The global HLOS* (or advanced) smartwatch market is expected to see a healthy 15% annual growth in 2024.
  • While Apple WatchOS dominates, we are seeing growing adoption of HarmonyOS and Google Wear OS platforms this year.
  • In China, HarmonyOS smartwatches’ share is expected to reach 61% owing to the high adoption of Huawei 5G smartphones.
  • Major brands that will drive Wear OS volumes include Samsung, Google, OnePlus, OPPO and Xiaomi.

Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Taipei, Tokyo – April 29, 2024

The global smartwatch market has been growing rapidly for multiple years now driven by the explosion of basic smartwatches priced mostly under $100 and running proprietary or real-time operating system (RTOS)-type operating systems with basic functionality and applications. On the other hand, advanced smartwatches (those with High-Level Operating System or HLOS) have been growing steadily mostly driven by Apple and Samsung until now.

However, according to our latest global smartwatch tracker and forecast by region, brand and OS, the global HLOS smartwatch market is estimated to grow 15% annually in 2024 in terms of volume, after a flattish growth in 2023. The major part of this growth will come from non-Apple smartphone users adopting either a Google Wear OS-based smartwatch if outside China or a Huawei HarmonyOS-based smartwatch if in China.

For example, in the advanced smartwatch segment, we estimate the Google Wear OS share outside China will climb to 27% in 2024. The growth will be primarily driven by the availability of more advanced smartwatches powered by Wear OS, like the latest adoption by Google Pixel and OnePlus Watch 2, along with the refreshed Samsung Galaxy Watch 6 series.

Commenting on the market performance, Senior Research Analyst Anshika Jain said, “Just as in the case of smartphones, where there is a shift toward premium devices in consumer buying patterns, we are witnessing that first-time smartwatch users or upgraders in the Android camp are now looking for a much better user experience and are willing to spend more when going for their next purchase. Due to this, we expect greater adoption of Google’s Android Wear (Wear OS) since these devices provide a robust third-party app experience, Google AI assistant, and precise health tracking, customization and battery optimization.”

Jain added, “Until now, most of the Wear OS adoption was driven by Samsung smartwatches, and there were limited mainstream options for Android smartphone users. However, starting this year, we are seeing Google and Qualcomm managing to attract their leading smartphone customers such as OnePlus, OPPO and Xiaomi to launch Wear OS-based smartwatches outside China at attractive high-tier price points. Further, Google’s own Pixel watches will also continue to contribute to the Wear OS adoption globally.

In addition to Wear OS, we are witnessing the growth of HarmonyOS powered by the increasing popularity of Huawei smartwatches in China. On this trend, Associate Director Ethan Qi said, “In 2023, the overall HarmonyOS shipments grew almost 2x, surpassing Apple’s WatchOS. HarmonyOS’ shipment share is further estimated to reach 61% in China in 2024, up from 48% in 2023. The launch of 5G smartphones by Huawei last year and the resulting growth have acted as a key catalyst in driving the attach rate for Huawei smartwatches and expanding China’s advanced smartwatch market.”

Two Distinct Smartwatch Markets & Two Growth Platforms
Source: Counterpoint Global Smartwatch Quarterly Model Tracker, Q1 2018-Q4 2023

In terms of smartwatch chipsets, Apple and Samsung currently hold two-thirds of the advanced smartwatch market. Hengxuan and Qualcomm are expected to witness double-digit growth in 2024. Qualcomm’s market will be driven by more launches on its W5+ Gen 1 and W5100 processors, while Hengxuan’s growth will be mainly driven by the adoption of Huawei and Xiaomi smartwatches in China.

In terms of new and future launches, we are seeing a new trend of having a dual-chipset and dual-OS strategy, which combines a high-end processor, like from Qualcomm, with a low-power co-processor and a hybrid version of Wear OS, allowing smooth integration and switching between RTOS and HLOS depending on the user application, to boost power and performance. Players such as Ambiq Micro, BES Tech and Goodix will benefit from this trend and expand their share in the advanced smartwatch market. Therefore, there are more collaboration opportunities available in the market for hardware players with software platforms like the Wear OS to expand the device’s capabilities. Companies such as MicroEJ will also play a key role in abstracting the dual-OS application complexities.

While there are emerging trends when it comes to OS and chipset strategies, we are also seeing smartwatch displays becoming a key component for differentiation. Counterpoint company DSCC’s Senior Director David Naranjo said, “According to our smartwatch display panel shipments tracker, the advanced smartwatch, which mostly sports cutting-edge OLED and MicroLED displays, is bound to see an increase in orders for suppliers in the 16%-18% range in 2024 due to strong momentum after the second half of 2023 and the blended OLED panel pricing declining by 3% in addition to larger display sizes.”

Types of smartwatches:

*Advanced or HLOS smartwatch: Electronic watch running a high-level OS, such as Watch OS (Apple) and Wear OS (Samsung), with the ability to install third-party apps.

Basic smartwatch: Electronic watch running a lighter version of an OS, with no ability to install third-party apps.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

Survey: realme Ranks Among Top Smartphone Brands for Product Quality in Bangladesh

  • 77% of respondents prioritize product quality when buying smartphones.
  • Samsung, realme and vivo are top-rated for smartphone product quality.
  • 54% of respondents rated realme as the No. 1 brand for smartphone build quality.
  • realme is also the No. 1 smartphone brand in product quality in the sub-BDT 20,000 (around $180) price band among users in the 16-20 age group.

New Delhi, Beijing, Boston, Buenos Aires, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, Seoul, Taipei, Tokyo – April 29, 2024

As many as 77% of smartphone consumers in Bangladesh consider product quality a very important parameter when purchasing smartphones, according to Counterpoint Research’s recent consumer survey in the country. The survey further reveals that Samsung, realme and vivo are the top brands in Bangladesh when it comes to smartphone product quality.

According to Counterpoint Research’s quarterly smartphone shipment tracker for Q1 2024, 80% of Bangladesh’s smartphone market belongs to the sub-BDT 20,000 (around $180) price band and has an average selling price (ASP) of BDT 20,700. In the sub-BDT 20,000 price band, the consumer survey reveals, realme is the No. 1 brand for product quality in the 16-20 age group. Further, realme tops the overall market in terms of build quality, a sub-parameter of product quality, with 54% of the survey respondents preferring the brand. When asked what brand would they recommend to others for product quality, 83% of the respondents expressed a strong inclination for realme.

Bangladesh Consumer survey on smartphone product quality- key takeaways
Source: realme Bangladesh Smartphone Consumer Survey, 2024
Note: Numbers may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Commenting on realme’s positioning in Bangladesh’s smartphone market, Senior Analyst Arushi Chawla said, “As smartphones have become an integral part of daily life, their quality is increasingly gaining importance. Besides, product quality is also important for securing a favorable resale value. Factors like camera quality, battery life, processor, build quality and display are key considerations for smartphone buyers in Bangladesh when evaluating the product’s quality. Among various brands in Bangladesh, realme is particularly popular among young users in the affordable price range. This is because realme offers a well-designed and tailor-made portfolio for the Bangladeshi market. In addition, its innovative software and trusted build quality make it a top choice for smartphone buyers.”

Disclaimer

This survey, commissioned by realme Bangladesh, aimed to learn what people think about product quality when buying smartphones. Counterpoint Research conducted the survey in Bangladesh, reaching over 1,000 respondents with questions in Bengali and English. Both online and offline methods were used to gather insights from smartphone users aged 18 and above. We anticipate the results to be accurate within +/- 4%.

Background

Counterpoint Technology Market Research is a global research firm specializing in products in the TMT (technology, media, and telecom) industry. It services major technology and financial firms with a mix of monthly reports, customized projects, and detailed analyses of the mobile and technology markets. Its key analysts are seasoned experts in the high-tech industry.

Follow Counterpoint Research

press(at)counterpointresearch.com

Related Posts

Term of Use and Privacy Policy

Counterpoint Technology Market Research Limited

Registration

In order to access Counterpoint Technology Market Research Limited (Company or We hereafter) Web sites, you may be asked to complete a registration form. You are required to provide contact information which is used to enhance the user experience and determine whether you are a paid subscriber or not.
Personal Information When you register on we ask you for personal information. We use this information to provide you with the best advice and highest-quality service as well as with offers that we think are relevant to you. We may also contact you regarding a Web site problem or other customer service-related issues. We do not sell, share or rent personal information about you collected on Company Web sites.

How to unsubscribe and Termination

You may request to terminate your account or unsubscribe to any email subscriptions or mailing lists at any time. In accessing and using this Website, User agrees to comply with all applicable laws and agrees not to take any action that would compromise the security or viability of this Website. The Company may terminate User’s access to this Website at any time for any reason. The terms hereunder regarding Accuracy of Information and Third Party Rights shall survive termination.

Website Content and Copyright

This Website is the property of Counterpoint and is protected by international copyright law and conventions. We grant users the right to access and use the Website, so long as such use is for internal information purposes, and User does not alter, copy, disseminate, redistribute or republish any content or feature of this Website. User acknowledges that access to and use of this Website is subject to these TERMS OF USE and any expanded access or use must be approved in writing by the Company.
– Passwords are for user’s individual use
– Passwords may not be shared with others
– Users may not store documents in shared folders.
– Users may not redistribute documents to non-users unless otherwise stated in their contract terms.

Changes or Updates to the Website

The Company reserves the right to change, update or discontinue any aspect of this Website at any time without notice. Your continued use of the Website after any such change constitutes your agreement to these TERMS OF USE, as modified.
Accuracy of Information: While the information contained on this Website has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, We disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. User assumes sole responsibility for the use it makes of this Website to achieve his/her intended results.

Third Party Links: This Website may contain links to other third party websites, which are provided as additional resources for the convenience of Users. We do not endorse, sponsor or accept any responsibility for these third party websites, User agrees to direct any concerns relating to these third party websites to the relevant website administrator.

Cookies and Tracking

We may monitor how you use our Web sites. It is used solely for purposes of enabling us to provide you with a personalized Web site experience.
This data may also be used in the aggregate, to identify appropriate product offerings and subscription plans.
Cookies may be set in order to identify you and determine your access privileges. Cookies are simply identifiers. You have the ability to delete cookie files from your hard disk drive.