600% Memory Price Surge Threatens Telcos’ Broadband Router, Set-Top Box Supply
- DRAM and NAND memory prices have jumped more than 600% over the last one year for consumer applications, driven by surging demand from higher-margin AI server segments.
- Prices are expected to rise through June 2026, with supply constraints likely to persist even if costs peak in the first half of 2026.
- Routers are hit the hardest, especially for OEMs with an unsecured supply and weaker negotiating power.
- Memory contribution to the router BOM has gone up to more than 20% share from 3% a year ago.
Seoul, Beijing, Boston, Fort Collins, Hong Kong, London, New Delhi, Taipei, Tokyo – Feb 11, 2026
Driven by surging demand from higher-margin AI server segments, DRAM and NAND memory prices have skyrocketed, jumping more than 600% over the last one year for consumer applications from PCs and low-end smartphones to routers and set-top boxes, according to the February 2026 edition of Counterpoint Research’s Memory Price Tracker . As a result, consumer segments are being hit the hardest by a supply crunch and surging prices for both conventional DRAM and NAND. According to the tracker, this increase in memory prices will continue through June 2026 at least. There is a possibility of prices peaking in the first half of 2026, but supply issues will continue to persist.
While the difficulties being faced by the PC and lower-end smartphone industries with “mobile memory” are now well known, other consumer products like routers, gateways and set-top boxes are affected the most, going by the monthly trends since last year. Over the last nine months, smartphone memory prices jumped 3x, but the prices for “consumer memory”-based broadband products jumped almost 7x. Routers are hit the hardest, especially for OEMs with an unsecured supply and weaker negotiating power. Memory is now contributing more than 20% of the total bill of materials (BOM) in low-to-mid-end routers, up from around 3% exactly a year ago, according to Counterpoint’s Teardown and BOM Analysis Service.
Consumer and Mobile DRAM Prices ($) Skyrocketing
Note: Memory price changes since January 2025
This rings alarm bells for telcos targeting aggressive broadband rollouts (fiber or FWA) for 2026. This “memory winter” is going to prolong and slow down deployments as supply becomes a critical issue, in addition to increasing procurement costs for routers, CPEs and set-top boxes. Many leading telcos were also looking to push AI CPEs for fixed or wireless broadband, warranting higher compute and memory semiconductor content. Such plans could now face significant headwinds. It will be important for telcos to closely monitor these price dynamics, identify which OEMs have secured enough supply, and track updated BOM costs and pricing trends.
Counterpoint’s Memory Price Tracker tracks main memory products by category, such as mobile, PC, server, consumer and automotive. Clients can access the related reports by clicking on the links below:
Memory Price Tracker, Feb 2026: 90% Jump from Q4 2025
Counterpoint's Memory Research
About Counterpoint Research
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Author
MS Hwang
MS Hwang is a research director at Counterpoint, specializing in memory semiconductor research. MS Hwang brings over 30 years of experience from Samsung Electronics and sell-side brokerage research roles including ABN AMRO, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and Samsung Securities.
Jeongku Choi
Jeongku Choi is a Research Analyst at Counterpoint Research based in Seoul, Korea. As an engineer in LG Electronics, she was responsible for commercializing the latest technologies for new products in mobile and automotive. Also analyzing and strategizing the latest Android technology was one of her roles. Her interests are mobile, mobility, AI, and emerging technologies.