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Global Autonomous Vehicle Forecast, Q4 2023

Overview:

Autonomy in vehicles stands as one of today’s most widely discussed subjects. This report serves to elucidate the adoption of autonomous vehicles across various regions. The forecast will give the readers an idea on how autonomous vehicles will shape the future till 2030. Currently, we are tracking the autonomous vehicle market across 9 regions: China, Japan, Korea, Europe, NAM, LATAM, SEA, MEA and Rest of the World. Additionally, this report provides insights into the differentiation among OEMs like Toyota group, Volkswagen group, Hyundai-Kia automotive group, BYD Auto etc. concerning autonomous vehicle adoption.

Traditionally, electric vehicle (EV) buyers are more inclined towards embracing new technologies. However, this report sheds light on how autonomy adoption will unfold throughout this decade till 2030. Furthermore, it delineates the different levels of autonomy (Level 0, Level 1, Level 2, Level 3, Level 4 and Level 5) offered by various OEMs.

The period covered in this report spans from 2022 to 2030.

Table of Contents:

  • Definition
  • Pivot Table
  • Flatfile

Publishing Date: March 2024

Market Outlook – Smartphone Model Level Forecast, March 2024

Overview:
The global smartphone market shrank 4.4% YoY in 2023, recording its lowest level in a decade, as macroeconomic headwinds and consumer weakness continued to pressure the industry throughout the year. However, we have seen momentum building in H2 2023, with Q4 2023 consolidating gains and pointing to an expected recovery in 2024. The smartphone market grew 6.8% YoY and exceeding earlier expectations. Samsung retained the spot as the world’s top smartphone player annually by a tiny margin in 2023. In terms of regional performance, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) exhibited the highest annual shipment growth while North America (NAM) experienced the greatest decline.

  • Apple achieved better shipments than expected in Q4 2023, growing 2% YoY, despite increased competition from Huawei. While Apple did lose some share in the China premium market segment to Huawei, it was not sufficient to significantly slow Apple’s global momentum. Apple is expected to keep growing in 2024, backed by an increasing preference for the iOS ecosystem and compatibility between devices in advanced markets with refresh lineups and in emerging regions with old models, respectively.
    For the iPhone 16 series, Apple is expected to apply on-device generative AI and significantly improve microphone performance to maximize its use. Based on the abundant IB of the iPhone 13, the iPhone 16 series will be able to achieve the higher shipments than its predecessors in the first year of release.
  • The successful introduction of the On-Device AI concept will play a crucial role in Samsung‘s efforts to gain a larger share in the premium market with the S24. It is projected that the shipment of the S24 during its launch year will exceed that of the S23 by 10%. Furthermore, with the improved responsiveness of Samsung’s self-developed Exynos 2400 compared to its predecessor, Samsung will be better positioned to expand its portfolio of AI-capable devices in the future.

In this report, we forecast the quarterly shipment of key smartphone models by major OEMs – Apple, Samsung, Huawei, Honor, Xiaomi, OPPO, Vivo, Oneplus, Motorola, Google, and Sony – until Q4 2025 and it focuses on giving a detailed view of flagship shipments globally.

Published Date: March 2023

Global Foldable Smartphone Market Forecast Q4 2023

Overview:
The 2024 global smartphone market is expected to reach 1.25 billion units, a 4.2% increase over the previous year.

The foldable market is expected to increase in 2024 reaching to 19.1 m units mainly due to the following factors: 1) Emergence of mid-priced foldable products and growth of the mid-priced market; 2) Diversification of foldable products supplied to the global market; 3) Growth in relatively small regional markets such as Asia and MEA with the revival of major regional markets such as North America and Europe.

The global foldable market, which has seen explosive growth since 2019, decelerated in 2023. It is natural for many niche markets to experience some slowdowns after initial rapid growth. However, the foldable smartphone market has yet to reach that stage, especially when we consider the size of the ultra-premium or premium smartphone market. Conversely, the decline in the growth rate of the global foldable market in 2023 is expected to serve as an opportunity for the foldable market to grow differently than before.

Table of Contents:

Assumptions
Foldable Shipment Forecast by OEMs

Foldable Model-level Forecast (+1 year)

Number of Pages: 3

File Format: Excel

Published Date: Mar 2024

Market Outlook – Handset Shipment Forecast by OEM Region, February 2024

Overview:

The annual smartphone market shrank 4.4% YoY in 2023 as the macroeconomics headwinds and consumer weakness continued to pressure the industry thought the year. We expect the market grow by around 3.4% annually in 2024. The reasons for upward revision of the forecast are as follows;

  • Inventory levels had reached more or less normal levels by the end of 2023 clearing the way for orderly market functioning in 2024.
  • The global macroeconomic projection is adjusted higher due to the greater-than-expected resilience in H2 2023 in many economies, such as Stronger-than-expected US growth and partly growth in the euro zone, the growth in emerging and developing Asia, and strong demand in Brazil, Mexico, and India.
  • The introduction of Gen AI based devices is likely to catalyse additional growth.

 This report provides the global mobile handset/smartphone market forecast by region and brand for 2023-2027.

 Table of Contents:

  • Assumptions
  • Pivot
  • Tech Pivot
  • Track Changes – Smartphone
    • Global
    • North America
    • Caribbean & Latin America
    • Middle East & Africa
    • Europe (Western Europe / Central & Eastern Europe)
    • Asia Pacific (China/India/Japan/Korea/AP Others)
  • Flatfile
  • Definitions

 Published Date: Feb 2024

Global Quarterly PC forecasts – Q4 2023

Overview:

This forecast is part of Counterpoint’s PC research and focuses on global PC market. It provides quarterly and annual forecast on global PC suppliers on shipments. The data in this report covers from 2020 to 2028.

Table of Contents:

  • PC Shipment Forecasts (Quarterly)
  • PC Forecasts by Brand (Quarterly)
  • PC Shipment Forecasts (Annual)

Published Date: February 2024

eSIM Devices Management Deployment Forecast (2018-2030) – 2023 H2 Update

Overview:

This report provides outlook for eSIM Management solutions Deployment from 2018 to 2030. The report breaks down the forecast by top vendors and carries the split between Consumer and IoT/M2M deployments. This report is useful for anyone attempting to understand the scope of eSIM management, especially for eSIM suppliers.

Table of Contents:

  • Table 1.1 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast
  • Table 1.2 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast (Market Share)
  • Table 2.1 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast for Consumer Devices
  • Table 2.2 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast for Consumer Devices (% Share)
  • Table 3.1 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast for IoT/M2M Devices
  • Table 3.2 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast for IoT/M2M Devices (% share)
  • Table 4.1 : Global eSIM Management Platforms Deployment Forecast for Consumer Devices (% share)

Published Date: December 2023

Global Cellular IoT Module Forecast – Q3 2023

Overview:

This report forecasts the sizing, opportunity, evolution, competitive outlook, and size of the global IoT cellular module market. The forecasts include shipments, revenues, and ASP of the cellular modules by the module vendor/brand across different applications and by different cellular access technologies (2G, 3G, 4G Cat 1, 4G Cat 4, 4G Cat Others, 5G, 5G Redcap, 5G eRedcap, 6G, NB-IoT, LTE-M, LPWA-Dual Mode). In-depth knowledge about more than 25 module vendors mapped across 18 application categories within this report. The report tracks the market The period covered is Q1 2021 to 2030 with eight quarterly and six yearly forecasts.

Table of Contents:

  • Definitions
  • Pivot
  • Flatfile

Published Date: December 2023

MOBILE DEVICE OUTLOOK December 2023 Update (Model Level Forecast)

Overview:
Annual smartphone shipments are forecast to decline 5.3% to 1.16 billion units in 2023, the lowest in a decade, as macroeconomic headwinds and consumer weakness continue to pressure the sector across the year. However, Q3 ended slightly stronger than our earlier expectations, signaling an easing in the rate of decline. Bolstered by regional recoveries and new product upgrade demand, the global smartphone market declined by 1% YoY to 299.8 million units in Q3 2023 ahead of the sales seasons.

  • Unlike last year, Apple appears to have had no major issues with the initial supply of the iPhone 15 series, and mobile carriers will be eager to steal high-value consumers from competitors in the fourth quarter of 2023. And with the large iPhone 12 installed base likely ripe for upgrades, promotions are expected to be aggressive to prompt renewal, giving Apple a good presence in key regions.
  • Samsung will continue to lead the foldable market with about 45% market share in 2024. Due to increasing market share of Chinese player like Huawei, HONOR and OPPO in this segment Samsung’s market share is expected to gradually decline.

In this report, we forecast the quarterly shipment of key smartphone models by major OEMs – Apple, Samsung, Huawei, Honor, Xiaomi, OPPO, Vivo, Oneplus, Motorola, Google, and Sony – until Q4 2024 and it focuses on giving a detailed view of flagship shipments globally.

Published Date: December 2023

Global TWS Market Forecast 2023-2026_Dec 2023

Overview:

The TWS market’s sales volume will increase by 1% YoY in 2023, but its revenue will decrease by 7% YoY. We expect the TWS market to keep growing till 2026 when the smartphone attach rate will reach 35%, while the average lifespan of a TWS device before replacement will be 1.5-1.8 years. We have revised the growth rates for the coming years from the previous forecast, backed by a slower recovery of consumer sentiment, low growth of Tier 1 brands and lack of innovation.

Table of Contents:

  • Key Assumptions
  • by Region
  • by Brand
  • Analyst contacts

Published Date: December 2023

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