OpenAI Saga: UNO Game and What it All Means For AI

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Nov 23, 2023

Our comprehensive take on the players, the drama, and the potential longer-term implications for OpenAI and the broader sector

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OpenAI Saga: UNO Game and What it Means For AI

Authors:  Yang Wang, Senior Analyst; Wei Sun, AI Senior Analyst

2,000 words

Introduction

The ongoing disruption at OpenAI highlights fundamental issues with how AI is being developed and managed, and indeed technology management more broadly. What has been exposed are the philosophical tensions between the ideas of Superalignment and Effective Accelerationism (e/Acc). Or to put it in blunter terms – ‘Doomers’ versus ‘Boomers’.

Highlights:

The Game: Sam Altman, the board, the firing
First ‘reverse’ card: Altman tries to fire back
Second ‘reverse’ card: Sutskever regrets decision to vote against Altman
Third ‘reverse’ card: Board hires new CEO
Fourth ‘reverse’ card: Altman hired by Microsoft
The Wild Card #1: Anthropic
The Wild Card #2: Adam D’Angelo
‘UNO!’ – The final card is played…or is it?

Analysis:

Mismatch between “non-profit” and “for-profit”
Conflict between Superalignment and E/Acc
The paradox of the Superalignment problem
Doomer vs Boomer
Role of Regulation
“Chaos is a ladder”: Microsoft’s master move
AI companies are nothing without their talent; hiring wars surface
Agent X and the role of the public square

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Summary

Published

Nov 23, 2023

Author

Team Counterpoint

Counterpoint Research is a global industry and market research firm providing market data, intelligence, thought leadership and consulting across the technology ecosystem. We advise a diverse range of global clients spanning the supply chain – from chipmakers, component suppliers, manufacturers and software and application developers to service providers, channel players and investors. Our veteran team of analysts serve these clients through our offices located across the key innovation hubs, manufacturing clusters and commercial centers globally. Our analysts consistently engage with C-suite through to strategy, market intelligence, supply chain, R&D, product management, marketing, sales and others across the organization. Counterpoint’s key coverage areas: AI, Automotive, Cloud, Connectivity, Consumer Electronics, Displays, eSIM, IoT, Location Platforms, Macroeconomics, Manufacturing, Networks & Infra, Semiconductors, Smartphones and Wearables.